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CBB North Carolina at Duke

February 07, 2007

College Basketball - North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5, 141) at Duke Blue Devils 9:00 EST

DeMarcus Nelson We all saw the downing of the Tar Heels (20-3, 6-2 ACC) at the hands of NC State last weekend. What we also saw was a lethargic Tar Heels team fresh off a 41 point win versus Miami having a letdown against the Wolfpack.

This UNC team has strength, speed, size and an eye on the national title. They also might have the best depth in the country. How can you not like North Carolina this season?

Duke (18-5, 5-4 ACC) is fresh off a one-point loss to Florida State at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Blue Devils shot a miserable 32% in the 2nd half of that game.

For Duke to be victorious tonight, they must get a great game from Josh McRoberts, DeMarcus Nelson and Greg Paulus. If even one of those three is off, then Duke will have its first three game losing streak since 1996.

The good news for the Blue Devils is that history is on their side. Duke has won eight out of their last 10 meetings against North Carolina at Cameron, although the Tar Heels did upset them last year, 83-76 as seven point underdogs.

What this game gets down to is the ACC's top defense in Duke (allowing 57 points per game, 8th nationally) hosting the ACC's top scoring offense in North Carolina (88 points per game, 2nd nationally).

If the Blue Devils can use the home crowd to their advantage, and keep North Carolina from dominating the boards, then this game will come down to the wire. Coming to Cameron is never easy, and I see this game being played within the 4.5 points.

Pick: Duke

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