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College Basketball Georgetown at Marquette

January 31, 2009

College Basketball Betting - (25) Georgetown Hoyas at (8) Marquette Golden Eagles (Saturday 2:00 ET)

By Matt Fargo

Marquette is proving to the rest of the Big East that it is going to be right in the mix of things come season end.

The Golden Eagles picked up its third Big East win against a ranked opponent with a very impressive win at Notre Dame on Monday night. It is flying high right now as it is 7-0 in the Big East and also a perfect 12-0 at home this season.

What I really like about this team right now is that it is not getting worn down in the rugged Big East as the schedule has been the tamest of all conference teams.

This game against Georgetown will be only the Golden Eagles fifth game over the last 21 days. They will have played four straight Saturdays with only one weekday game in the entire mix and that was this past one on Monday against the Irish.

You are not going to find many well rested teams during conference time but when you do, it is time to strike.

Georgetown is clearly in a down year. The Hoyas started the season an impressive 10-1 including a big win against Memphis and opening Big East play with an even bigger win at Connecticut.

It has not gone well since then however as the Hoyas have dropped six of their last eight games including all four on the road.

The Hoyas are coming off a loss at Cincinnati but the one prior to that was the worst as it lost in Seton Hall giving the then 0-6 Pirates their first Big East victory of the season.

Georgetown is a young team and staying patient in the offense, which is the most important factor in the system, has been a real problem.

Unlike Marquette, there is no rest for Georgetown who will be playing its fourth game in nine days in four different venues so the travel aspect is definitely not in its favor. Georgetown is known for being strong on the boards but that has not been the case this season as it is -0.9 rpg in rebounding margin on the year.

Marquette meanwhile is +3.8 rpg in margin and the offensive end could make a huge difference here. Marquette is grabbing offensive rebounds at a 36.8 percent clip while Georgetown is at 34.5 percent.

On the defensive end, the Hoyas allow opponents to grab offensive boards 38.1 percent of the time compared to only 31.2 percent for Marquette. Those are huge variances and ones that are not typical for a normal Georgetown team.

The Golden Eagles also have a solid edge in taking care of the ball. The Hoyas have a respectable 0.98 assist/turnover ratio which is 143rd in the nation but still above average especially with the tough schedule it has played.

Marquette has also played a rugged slate and has posted a ratio of 1.33 which is good for 13th in the country.

Part of the reason for this success is that the Golden Eagles turn the ball over only 16.8 percent of the time on offense which is 2nd in the Big East and 10th in the nation.

Georgetown's rankings are 12th and 165th respectively. Some can argue the time off can hurt the momentum but in this conference, it is a welcome break and Marquette keeps rolling along.

Pick: Marquette Golden Eagles -6 (-110) available at 5Dimes.com.

Visit the college basketball betting forum for more picks, information or to post your own selections.


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