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College Football Cincinnati at Connecticut

October 23, 2008

College Football Betting - Cincinnati Bearcats at Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 12:00 PM ET)

Cincinnati is coming off a bye week and that extra time will be beneficial. The Bearcats have won four straight games and are currently 1-0 in the Big East Conference.

This game means quite a bit considering the next four games comes against the best four teams in the conference so heading into that stretch at 2-0 is a must. Making things even more interesting is the fact that Cincinnati will have only five days after this one to get ready for a visit from the Bulls.

While the Bearcats are hot, Connecticut is struggling. The Huskies have dropped two straight games including a heartbreaker at Rutgers over the weekend. They had a shot to win but missed a field goal with just over a minute remaining.

This will be the first home game in five weeks for the Huskies which is no doubt a big advantage while they are also playing with revenge following a 27-3 blowout loss last season in Cincinnati. However, the Bearcats have too many edges in this one.

Three games back, the Huskies won at Louisville in a game they had no business winning and it was the one game they were outrushed this season. Connecticut rushed for 157 yards and that has begun a downward spiral from the rushing game.

After averaging 279.5 ypg in their first four games, the Huskies have averaged only 147.3 ypg over their last three games. Things won't get better here as Cincinnati comes into this game with the 13th ranked rushing defense in the nation, allowing just 94.5 ypg.

Special teams, defense, and a resurgent running game have helped the Bearcats play through the loss of their top two quarterbacks to injury. Despite this, the Bearcats are 39th in the country in total offense including 26th in passing offense and 21st in passing efficiency.

They will go against a solid defense in Connecticut but after allowing 7.3 ppg in their first three games, the Huskies have allowed 24.8 ppg in their last four games and it is no surprise due to the level of competition increasing.

Field position can play a big role and Cincinnati has a huge edge in two big special teams categories. It is 1st in the country in net putting while the Huskies are only 84th and the Bearcats are 6th in kickoff returns while Connecticut is 99th.

Cincinnati has covered 10 of its last 14 games against teams with a winning record while the Huskies are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven against winning teams. That shows a lot of how each steps up or down against the level of competition and we will see more of the same here.

Pick: Cincinnati -1 (-110) available at

- Matt Fargo of

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