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College Football Florida at Georgia

October 31, 2008

College Football Betting - (5) Florida Gators at (8) Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 3:30 PM ET)

This is basically a BCS Bowl elimination game, the loser is out, the winner likely wins the SEC East, and into a BCS Bowl. Last year Georgia took it to Florida. The Gators were without Tebow being 100%, as he was nursing a shoulder injury.

The Bulldogs were also off a bye, and certainly had some advantages going in. This year there are a lot of things going against them. The Bulldogs have currently played their last 2 games, against the last 2 BCS Champions, and 3 straight against a ranked opponent.

That means they will come into this one mentally, physically, and emotionally drained. I don't think that will be a factor early, as the magnitude of this game will keep the adrenlin pumping at least at the onset. It will show up in the second half, when I believe Florida will take control.

The stats say Georgia is a combined 1-52-1 ATS yes you read that right 1-52-1 ATS when....

- Florida is 16-1-1 ATS off of a SU & ATS win with conference revenge.

- Florida is 10-0 ATS vs Georgia off of 2 SU & ATS wins.

- Georgia Coach Mark Reicht is 0-18 ATS in SU losses as a dog of less than double digits.

- Teams that beat last year's National Champion in their last game and are now an underdog are 0-8 ATS

That comes to 1-52-1 ATS for Georgia here!!!

I don't base my game decisions on trends such as this, but it is just part of the whole process, and lots of people are curious about them.

Georgia was outgained by LSU, yet won by 2 TD's, mainly because of 2 defensive scores. Then there is the huge issue of what happened in last year's game.

When Georgia scored late, the entire team came out, and into the end-zone to celebrate the score that put Florida away. That didn't sit well with the team, or Coach Urban Meyer.

You can be assured, this game has been circled since then, and it will not only be Florida's biggest game of the year by BCS implications, it will be their biggest revenge motivator of the season.

Coach Meyer has been known to get points to cover games for alumni, and boosters, it is well documented! He will run this game up as far as he can, and will certainly not win, with no cover, that won't happen.

Florida is a turnover machine, as they come in at +10, and their special teams are tops in the country. Urban Meyer coached teams have now blocked 40 punts, yes 40, that is not a typo.

This year's Gator squad has already blocked 4, do not be surprised if the spread is erased on special teams by Florida, and it is mano-o-mano offense vs defense for the win. I like the Gators to win this one by at least 2 TD's, and if Meyer decides to pile it on, maybe more.

Pick: Florida -6 (-110) available at 5Dimes.com.

- Mr. East of Sportscapping.com

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