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Diamondbacks at Padres

August 01, 2007

MLB baseball - Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-127, 8) 10:00 PM EST

Eric Byrnes of the DiamondbacksArizona is winners of nine of thier last ten, seizing the moment thanks to a strong pitching staff and hitters finally carrying there weight.

In this stretch, they have only allowed more than four runs twice and if you eliminate the only defeat, the Snakes have scores 49 runs in last nine victories.

Contrast that with San Diego, who is has won three times in last 11 games to fall to third place. In the last four games the Padres have scored 9, 1,18,0 runs.

The lower numbers were against Roy Oswalt and Brandon Webb, nevertheless if a team truly has championship qualities they have to find a way to manufacture runs.

With last night's win, Arizona is 6-3 against the Padres this season and 35-21 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse.

Why D-Backs win - They are hot! A combination of hitting home runs, playing defense and pitching is producing wins.

Outfielder Eric Byrnes is the straw stirring the drink for Arizona. He leads a very young team in batting average, RBI's, runs scored, stolen bases and most important hustle.

He is the team leader playing every day leading by example. The D-Backs are 36-22 against the money line after a win this season. Micah Ownings (5-5, 5.13) has found strife of late with 6.92 ERA in his last three starts and has been on short leash with manager Bob Melvin.

At least Ownings will have the benefit of facing a team whose hitters strike out seven or more times a game and the Snakes are 24-13 against these clubs.

Why Padres win - San Diego has to be disappointed with recent play, but enough of these players have been in pennant races the last two seasons to realize they still are positioned to seize the moment with two months to play.

San Diego is 27-14 when playing on Wednesday over the last two seasons, meaning they are effective at evening up a series or taking command in what normally is the middle game.

While the Padres have played better the last two seasons once the calendar turned to August, Arizona has been like a desert snake going into hiding with 18-37 record this month the last two seasons.

Top Totals Trends - Arizona is 19-5 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. San Diego is 27-12 UNDER in home games after scoring one run or less over the last three seasons.

San Diego is a -127 favorite at home with a total of 8 at sportsbook.com

Pick - A special Hump Day parlay. San Diego has preformed extremely well off an embarrassing loss to open a series in which they never had the lead, bouncing back with 19-5 record.

Arizona may have won three road games in a row, yet are still 5-12 in last 17. While almost all trends point to Under, we'll take a walk on the wild side with Ownings recent problems and portly David Wells ERA is expanding like his waist line at 10.13 in his last three starts.

San Diego is 9-3-1 Over off a loss and the D-Backs are 7-2-1 Over after holding opponent to two or less runs. Play the Padres and Over 8 for nice parlay that pays over $115 on a fifty dollar wager.

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