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MLB Betting Preview - Rangers at Diamondbacks

June 25, 2009
MLB Betting Preview and Pick - Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40 ET

By Matt Fargo

Texas is slipping in the American League West. After having a four-game lead just 10 games ago, the lead has been cut to zero as the Angels have caught Texas in the division.

The Rangers did pick up a much needed win last night and it was unexpected as they were able to beat Dan Haren thanks to an even better effort from Vicente Padilla.

Justin Upton of the DiamondbacksArizona continues to struggle on offense as it has been hit or miss with this team. The Diamondbacks could get some production tonight from the bats as they square off against Scott Feldman.

Feldman has a terrific run of six straight quality starts, but his last three have produced none and things could be going from bad to worse as team are finally starting to figure him out.

He is 4-1 on the road, but his ERA is 4.26 which is nothing great and only half of his road outings have been quality performances.

He squares off against Jon Garland who is turning the corner in the other direction.

Despite Arizona losing his last six starts, three of his last four outings have been quality starts including his last two where has allowed a combined three runs in 14 innings of work.

Obviously the run support has been lacking, but that has not been the case at home where the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.0 rpg in his seven home starts.

His 7.82 home ERA looks atrocious, but four of those seven starts have been good ones and that inflated number is attributed to three games and even though it is three too many, he is in a better state right now to follow up his last start at Chase Field which was in fact a quality performance.

Arizona falls into a solid underdog situation as well. Play against road favorites of less than -150 with a starting pitcher who averages three or fewer strikeouts per outing going up against a National League opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.55 to 1.65 on the season.

This situation is 35-14 (71.4 percent) since 1997.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) available at Bookmaker.com.

Be sure to check out all of Thursday's free sports picks and more predictions in the mlb baseball betting forum.


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