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MLB Betting Preview - Red Sox at Rays

May 01, 2009
MLB Betting Preview - Boston Red Sox (Masterson) at Tampa Bay Rays (Sonnanstine) Friday 7:35 ET

By Matt Fargo

Evan Longoria of the RaysIt just seems like Tampa Bay has Boston's number and the Red Sox can do nothing about it. Tonight we get a good price with a home underdog and this number is due to the starting pitching which I will get to further down.

With last night's blowout victory, the Rays are 12-3 in the last 15 meetings at home in this series and they will be riding that into tonight.

Tampa Bay has not gotten off to a great start and that has brought up the question about whether or not last season was just a fluke.

I certainly do not think it was a fluke at all as this team is extremely talented but this year, the offense has been slow out of the gate.

The Rays have scored three runs or fewer in 13 of their first 23 games but last night's 13-run outburst could very well be the start of something big.

Boston has dropped two of three games after winning 11 straight to move into a tie with Toronto in the American League East.

The Red Sox are not over the top in either offense or pitching and the streak was solidified with either one of those stepping up at the right time.

Tonight they send Justin Masterson to the mound and he has been solid in his first two starts this season. Both were quality starts and both were at home and you know what that means.

This is the perfect spot to play against. The main reason being is to always go against a non-top class pitcher after back-to-back quality outings.

The other reason is the change in venue. Masterson is 5-0 in seven starts at home, but on the road he is 1-3 in four starts. He is also 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in two starts and four relief appearances against the Rays.

Tampa Bay counters with Andy Sonnanstine who has gotten off to a very rough start. Most of his damage has been in two of his four starts however and his one lone start at home was good enough for a win but resulted in a one-run loss against the Yankees.

He faced the Red Sox three times last season, going 1-0 with a 1.33 ERA covering 20.1 innings with all three of those outings being quality efforts.

The Rays take another one tonight.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+105) available at

Check out the mlb baseball betting forum for more picks, prediction and betting trends for Friday.

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