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MLB Betting Preview - Red Sox at Twins

May 26, 2009
MLB Betting Preview - Boston Red Sox (Lester) at Minnesota Twins (Blackburn) 8:10 ET

By Matt Fargo

Boston took Game One of this series on Monday, but still remains two games under .500 on the road yet is a surprising favorite here tonight.

The Red Sox have dominated this series going back to last season with six straight wins, but that should not be enough to make them a chalk especially when the starting pitching matchup is at a disadvantage.

Justin Morneau of the TwinsThe loss Monday snapped Minnesota's four-game winning streak as well as its six-game home winning streak. The Twins are now 17-10 at home which is the 2nd best home record in the American League. Home teams are now 31-15 in Minnesota's 46 games on the season.

The Twins send Nick Blackburn to the mound and he is having a very good but inconsistent season. Five of his nine starts this season have been quality outings including four of his last six games.

He has tossed two seven-inning shutouts over his last three starts as he looks to be turning the corner following a not-so-great start to the season.

The Red Sox are hitting only .241 on the season against right-handed pitching on the road.

Boston counters with Jon Lester who is having a tough season. He has a 5.91 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in his first nine starts including a 6.93 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in four road outings. He has allowed five runs or more in five of his nine starts including three of his four games on the road.

He faced the Twins twice last season, resulting in a split, and he put up a 5.68 ERA. Minnesota is hitting .290 on the season against left-handed pitching including .302 at home and .338 over its last 10 games.

The Twins are 23-4 in their last 27 home games against a left-handed starter which is a remarkable run.

Despite Boston's recent series dominance, the Twins are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings at home and the Red sox are only 11-26 in their last 37 games on the fake stuff. This includes a 0-6 record with Lester toeing the rubber.

Pick: Minnesota Twins (+103) available at BetJamaica.

Check out the mlb baseball betting forum for more picks, trends and information for Tuesday night baseball.


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