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MLB Betting Preview - Tigers at Red Sox

August 10, 2009
MLB Betting Preview - Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox (Monday 7:10 ET)

By Matt Fargo

Dustin Pedroia of the Red SoxEven though the pitching matchup favors the Tigers, the Red Sox are in a solid spot as the value is definitely on their side.

Boston has lost six straight games and while going against those types of streaks is dangerous sometimes, it is different here.

All of those games were on the road while this one is the beginning of a short four-game homestand and time is all of a sudden running out on the Red Sox.

After the sweep at the hands of the Yankees they are now 6.5 games back in the American League East but the good news is that they are tied with the Rangers for the lead in the Wild Card standings.

Detroit has won four of its last five games but those were all at home where it is 15.5 games better than it is on the road.

The same can be said for the Red Sox who are 11 games better at home than on the road. Brad Penny looks to turn his shaky season around but he has at least been decent at home.

He has a 4.72 ERA in 11 home starts with Boston going 7-4 in those games. His recent form shows a 6.23 ERA over his last three starts with a 1.38 WHIP to go along with it.

His opponent tonight is Edwin Jackson and he has a WHIP of 1.37 over that same span despite having an ERA that is about three runs less.

Jackson has never fared well in Boston as he is 0-4 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in five starts and one relief appearance at Fenway Park.

The Tigers are 1-7 in their last eight road games against a right-handed starter.

The Red Sox meanwhile are 5-0 in their last five games as a home underdog and they have taken 19 of the last 26 meetings played in Boston.

Free Pick: Boston Red Sox (+100) available at

Visit the free picks page and mlb baseball betting forum for more predictions for Monday.

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