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MLB Betting - Yankees vs. Red Sox

August 21, 2009
MLB Betting Preview - N.Y. Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox (Friday 7:10 ET)

By Rob Vinciletti

David OrtizBoston was totally embarrassed, getting swept in their 4 game series with the Yanks in NY.

Boston had won the prior 8 games vs. the Yankees before the beating in the Bronx.

Tonight they come home off back to back road wins. The same situation as NY. Boston is still 8-4 vs. NY this year and the Yankees have lost all 6 games in Boston this year. However, the Red Sox are an underdog here.

For technical analysis we go the systems chart and see that road favorites such as the Yankees in off a road favored win, scoring 4 or less taking on an opponent also off a road game are just 3-11 straight up.

If the total in these games is 10 or higher our road favorites go from 3-11 to 0-5.

In the pitching matchup the Yankees have A. Pettite going and he has been solid on the road this year.

In his only start in Boston this year he went 6 innings and allowed 4 runs. Serviceable but not great.

Boston counters with B. Penny tonight. In his last 2 home starts vs NY. he has allowed 1 earned run in 13 innings.

Penny teams are 4-0 vs. the Yankees and he has a solid 2.31 era in those starts. Which indicates that he can navigate sucessfully through that lineup.

The Yankees are just 1-3 in road games when the total is 10 to 10.5. Boston is 14-5 at home with a 10 to 10.5 total.

The Red Sox average 5.7 runs per game at home and will seek immediate revenge for the sweep.

Free Pick: Boston Red Sox (+115) at Sportsbook.com.

Be sure to check out more predictions for Friday in the free sports picks section and mlb baseball betting forum.


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