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MLB Brewers at Reds

July 24, 2007

MLB Baseball Betting - Milwaukee Brewers (-133, 10) at Cincinnati Reds 7:00 PM EST

Prince Fielder of the BrewersThe Brewers are now 19-27 (-8 units) on the road this season and have seen their once substantial lead slip to three games over the Cubs.

With ace Ben Sheets on the shelf, Ned Yost is forced to turn to the youngest member of his pitching staff, rookie Yovani Gallardo (2-1, 2.34).

The right-hander has given up just six runs in 25.3 innings over four starts since being called up from Triple-A Nashville in the middle of June.

He has lasted at least six innings in each start while holding opponents to a .195 batting average. Gallardo has also pitched over nine innings of relief this season. "Yovani's makeup is pretty special,' said Brewers manager Ned Yost. "He doesn't get flustered very easy.

The thing I like about it is that you can't tell from his demeanor what is going on. That's a little bit like Tom Glavine and John Smoltz. You couldn't tell if they were down 15 runs or up 15 runs."

Despite having a memorable season, the Brewers have to seriously be considered a Play Against team on the road. They have now lost nine of 12 scoring a piddling 30 runs in the losses. One would have to be a golem not to see this is team really struggling on the road.

Cincinnati (42-58) is fighting to escape last place in the division and will send often-hittable Matt Belisle (5-6, 5.13) to the mound. Belisle strikeouts to walk ratios are good with 78 K's compared to 26 free passes.

What has plagued him are pitches that are up in the zone and not overpowering enough to get by batters consistently. He has surrendered 137 base hits in only 114 innings. Because he doesn't walk many hitters, his WHIP is still within the normal range at 1.430.

Discounting last evening, the Great American Ballpark is a hitter's paradise and Belisle has paid the price with 1-5 mark and an ERA just shy of six.

Milwaukee is -133 favorite at sportsbook.com with a total of U10. The Brew Crew has lost 10 of 18 in Cincy over the last three seasons and is just 6-14 (-13.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more in that time span.

Manager Yost's club has bumbled and stumbled in July on the road with a 5-16 record over the last two years and is 2-10 in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season in 2007.

The potential saving grace is the Reds are 21-38 (-23.0 Units) against the ML in home games off a one run win over a division rival.

Discuss tonight's baseball card in the mlb baseball betting forum.


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