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MLB Padres at Mets

August 21, 2007

MLB Baseball Preview - San Diego Padres at New York Mets (-109, 7.5) 7:00 PM EST

Carlos Beltran of the MetsTo get the series started, fans and wagering aficionados of strong pitching without a large number of hits should be ecstatic with the two hurlers going tonight.

The big man for San Diego, in the literal sense, 6’10 Chris Young is the pitcher for the Padres, while the Mets main man, John Maine takes the ball for manager Willie Randolph.

San Diego received good news even when not playing yesterday as division leader Arizona lost, drawing them within two games in the loss column of the D-Backs.

Young (9-4, 1.93) will be making his third start since coming off the disabled list. In his last start, Young was more in-sync with how he has pitched all season, throwing six innings of shutout baseball giving up three hits and two walks while striking out six, in a no decision outing. 

“I definitely was a little sharper," Young told the Padres' official Web site. "I still feel like I'm not quite there with my stuff." Young has allowed only four long balls in over 130 innings of work and he will need his best stuff against the Mets who have homered at least once in last 11 games.

John Maine (13-7, 3.59) has scuffled with location in three recent outings, allowing nine walks and four long balls, which has produced an unsightly 10.38 ERA.

Despite Shea Stadium being a pitchers park, Maine like his team and has not been a force at home with 5-5 record in 12 starts. New York’s bats have been like the weather, red hot, scoring 7.6 runs per game in last seven trips to the ballpark.

The Mets are 49-27 against the money line after two straight games with five or more extra base hits.

With both playoff contenders switching venues, this has proven harmful to one team and a dramatic edge to the other. New York is 42-24 against the ML after six or more consecutive road games over the last three seasons, while San Diego is 1-10 after six or more consecutive home games this season.

This all becomes part of the puzzle why the Mets are -109 favorites at sportsbook.com. Not surprisingly the total in U7.5 with these two starting pitchers and bullpens.

It is noteworthy to contrast both starting pitchers and teams with such a low total. Young and the Pads are 12-4 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

The Mets with Maine on the hill are 10-3 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 in 2007.

Young will try to break his team’s six game losing streak to New York at Flushings over the last couple of seasons.

Visit the mlb baseball betting forum for tonight's picks, predictions and information on baseball wagering.


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