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MLB Preview Padres at Giants

April 05, 2007

MLB Baseball - San Diego Padres (-110, 8.5) at San Francisco Giants 10:00 PM ET 

Brian Giles of the PadresSan Diego starter Clay Hensley was the Giants draft choice back in 2002 and was traded to the Padres in 2003. The right-hander is a rare breed in today’s baseball word standing less then six feet tall (5’11).

The Padres coaching staff adjusted his throwing motion a few years back and he has become more effective with better movement on the ball with his sinker/slider mix. He has made three appearances against his former team and is 0-1 record with a 1.32 ERA. It will be interesting to see how Henley uses his new change-up he learned in the spring from new team-mate and future Hall of Famer Greg Maddux.

The Giants will try to avoid the sweep sending seasoned veteran Matt Morris to the hill. Morris gave San Francisco their first win last year with opening day triumph on the way to a mediocre 10-15 season.

Morris is not the same pitcher since undergoing shoulder surgery in 2003. None of his pitches have the same bite as before, but he is a good soldier and will compete to the end. Lifetime he is 6-3 against San Diego with a sharp 3.07 ERA.

With San Diego’s fast start they are a -110 betting choice at, with a total of 8.5. The Padres have done solid work in this situation with a 41-26 record (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last two seasons.

The Giants on the other hand 19-32 (-18.0 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses against same opponent.

An unusual system comes into play in this Western Division tilt having to do with carry over. That is to play against any home team in its first twelve games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games. This system is 83-45 and has produced +40.5 units of profit in the last ten years.

Total players should keep this in mind tonight. Hensley and the Padres are 13-4 Under in night games and he was a perfect 6 for 6 in retiring Bonds last season.

Discuss tonight's baseball card and post your picks in the mlb baseball betting forum.

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