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MLB Wagering Preview - Diamondbacks at Pirates

August 05, 2009
MLB Wagering Preview and Free Pick - Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 ET)

By Robbie Gainous

Arizona took Game One of their three-game series versus Pittsburgh 6 to 0 on Tuesday night.

The Diamondbacks have struggled on the highway this season posting a record of 47-59 SU for -14.1 Units averaging 4.2 runs per game with a batting average of only .230.

Pittsburgh has been decent at home this season going 28-21 SU for +6.8 Units averaging 4.7 runs per game with a batting average of .283.

The Diamondbacks will send left-hander Doug Davis to the bump with his 5-10 record and ERA of 3.73 this season.

Davis has also found the going tough on the road with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.29.

Over his last three outings he has only averaged 4.8 innings per start with 13 bases on balls which is not a particularly good sign when your bullpen has an ERA of 4.55 on the road this season along with a WHIP of 1.562.

His lone win over that span came against this Pirates team and their starting pitcher Ross Ohlendorf.

Davis pitched 6 innings giving up no earned runs with five hits three walks and eight strikeouts in a 7 to 0 win back on July 25th.

In that game Ohlendorf didn't pitch that poorly himself he went 6 innings giving up two earned runs on six hits two walks and two strikeouts in the loss.

Arizona is 5-12 overall when Davis takes the bump their last seventeen and 6-18 when he starts on the road.

National League Central opponents have given the Diamondbacks and Davis trouble on the highway since 1997 going 1-11 SU for -9.9 Units.

Pittsburgh is 5-0 their last five when facing a left-handed starter and 6-0 when Ohlendorf starts at home.

Ohlendorf is 7-2 (team 9-2) with an ERA of 3.34 at PNC Park this season and 2-1 his last three outings with an ERA of 3.12.

We expect the Pirates to bounce back from their Game One loss and for Ohlendorf to give us a quality start which should be enough to grab a Game Two victory and even this series at a game apiece.

Its possible we could see the line move against us here and the Pirates become the favorites but we will still back the host even if we have to lay a short number.

Take the Pirates as they get a win on Wednesday night at PNC Park.

Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) available at Sportsbook.com.

View the rest of Wednesday's free sports picks or check out the mlb baseball betting forum.


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