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NBA Betting Hornets at Knicks

March 27, 2009

NBA Betting Preview - New Orleans Hornets at New York Knicks (Friday 7:30 ET)

By Matt Fargo

New Orleans is an overwhelming public play tonight and for good reason. The Knicks have dropped six straight games including four straight at home.

This includes losses against the Kings and Clippers so New York is a big public fade right now. Add to that, the Hornets are in a revenge spot and that is lining up the masses even more on that side.

While the Knicks have definitely been struggling, they have played very well against the teams they should be losing to as they have covered six straight games against teams that are locks for the upcoming playoffs.

This includes two straight covers against Orlando and a cover against Cleveland right before that.

Thus it is no surprise that he Knicks are a solid 11-7 ATS in the 18 games that have been tagged as a home underdog, winning eight of those games outright.

They are 17-10 ATS against the Western Conference and an even more impressive 10-5 ATS against the nine top teams that are currently in the playoffs or in the playoff hunt.

New Orleans had won three straight games prior to a home loss against Denver last time out. That was the fifth consecutive home game for the Hornets who now hit the road for the first time in two weeks.

This is a short trip however as they head right back to New Orleans to take on the Spurs on Sunday so there could definitely be a lookahead for that one.

While the Knicks have flourished against the top teams, New Orleans has struggled against the weaker competition, going just 14-19 ATS this season against teams with a losing record.

The Hornets have been pretty solid as a road favorite, going 9-8-1 ATS but that includes a 4-2 ATS mark as a chalk of fewer than three points and a 2-1 ATS mark when the line is eight or more. They are just 3-5-1 ATS with everything in-between.

New Orleans is still dealing with injuries as Peja Stojakovic and Tyson Chandler are still on the shelf and are listed as questionable once again.

The Hornets are just 1-9 ATS this season in road games following two straight home games. The Knicks meanwhile are 13-3 ATS in home games when the total is set between 200 and 209.5.

This plays well into their hands as the Hornets are 2-9 ATS this season against teams allowing 103 or more ppg.

This is the type of game that New York has no business winning and this is why the Knicks do in fact have a great shot at winning it.

Pick: New York Knicks +5 (-110) at Bodoglife.com.

Check out the NBA basketball betting forum for more picks, predictions and betting trends for Friday.


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