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NFL Betting - Cowboys at Bills

October 08, 2007

NFL Football Betting Preview - Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills 8:30 PM EST

The Cowboys are currently 10.5 road favorites with a total of 45 at the majority of online sportsbooks.

Tony Romo, QB of the CowboysDallas comes into tonight's game with a 35-7 blowout win against the Rams, while Buffalo got their first win of the season over the Jets 17-14 last week.

Dallas has started the young NFL season 4-0 for the first time since 1995. The Cowboys will be looking to extend that record to 5-0 when they visit the injury depleted Buffalo Bills on Monday night football.

Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense has been clicking on all cylinders through the first four weeks of the season. Dallas leads the NFL in total offense with 440.8 yards per game, scoring 37.8 points per game.

Dallas quarterback Romo has had an excellent start to the season with 1199 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and just 3 picks. He has converted 59.5 percent of his passes and posts a 112.9 passer rating.

This is not good for an injury-filled Bills defense that is last in the NFL in total defense giving up 23.3 points per game, 430.3 yards per game with 282.3 coming through the air.

Buffalo enters Monday night having struggled on both sides of the ball during their 1-3 start. The Bills come into tonight's game averaging just 10.3 points per game.

They will be featured by an all-rookie backfield of quarterback Trent Edwards and running back Marshawn Lynch.

Edwards will be making his 2nd start of the season tonight. He is coming off a solid first outing throwing 22-of-28 of his passes for 234 yards with a touchdown and an interception in a win over the Jets for Buffalo's first win of the season.

The Bills rookie QB will be facing a Cowboys defense that enters Week 5 with a league high nine interceptions and NFL-best +7 turnover margin, though Dallas is expected to be without top cornerback Anthony Henry tonight.

Marshawn Lynch has done a nice job for the Bills running-game so far in his rookie campaign, rushing for 307 yards with 3 touchdowns. Lynch is still looking for his first 100-yard game as a pro.

Dallas is 4-0 straight up and against the spread. Buffalo is 1-3 straight up and 2-2 against the spread.

Other Trends of Interest

The Cowboys are 4-14 ATS in the last 18 games as road chalk of 7.5-10 points. 2-12 ATS after a win by 28 or more points. 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games. 5-1 SU and ATS in the last 6 games on the road.

Buffalo is 24-7 ATS after a win by 3 or less. 2-0 ATS at home in 2007. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home. 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games overall.

SCI Pick and Predicton

It's usually not a good idea to lay 10 or more points on a team playing on the road, but I can't spin this game any other way than a blowout win for the Cowboys.

The Bills injuries, along with key rookie factors in a big game and Bills ex-coach (Wade Phillips) revenge, not to mention Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now is too much to overcome for Buffalo to hang in this game.

Dallas 31, Buffalo 17

Visit the NFL football betting forum to post your own picks and discuss betting on tonight's game.

- Tommy of Sportscapper Island

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