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NFL Betting - Cowboys at Eagles

November 04, 2007

NFL Betting Preview - Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles 8:15 PM EST

The Cowboys are currently a 3-point road favorite with a game total of 46.5 at sportsbook.com for tonight's NFC East Division showdown.

Brian Westbrook of the EaglesDespite the win at Minnesota, Philadelphia could be on its last breath in '07, and nothing other than a win this week vs. Dallas on Sunday night will resuscitate.

Playing as a three-point home dog, the Eagles look to repeat last year's 38-24 home upset of the Cowboys. In fact, they actually swept their hated rivals in '06, outgaining them 809-521 in two games.

Overall, HC Andy Reid's club owns a 7-1 SU & 5-2 ATS edge in the L8 Head-to-Head meetings in Philly. With Dallas scoring 32.4 PPG, note that the Eagles boast a record of 11-2 ATS in their L13 vs. teams scoring >29 PPG.

The Cowboys will be well rested coming out of their bye week, and they are 5-0 ATS as a rested road favorite. The straight-up winner in Dallas and Philly battles is 27-4-1 ATS.

In terms of the NFC, the Cowboys are as strong as any team in the league. Their lone blemish has come against the mighty New England Patriots while tougher wins have been fought against other AFC East foes. However, against the NFC, Dallas has spelled domination with a capital "D."

Philadelphia has been anything but dominating this season, pulling wins from the jaws of defeat on several occasions while the offense has surpassed 20 points scored just once this season.

Leaning on RB Brian Westbrook proved fruitful against Minnesota last week and could be the modus operandi against Dallas in this matchup.

Keys to the Game

This is Deal or no Deal for Philadelphia in an important divisional battle, as they are all but mathematically eliminated with a loss to Dallas.

While Donovan McNabb deserves the largest portion of the blame, the rest of the offensive players are not making plays in the red zone, leading directly to a pair of losses.

The Philly defense makes all the plays until the most critical juncture. After their bye week, this is the first of three NFC East games for Dallas who could open up a wide lead with a trio of wins.

The offense is a machine, as long as Tony Romo doesn't act like the bad Brett Favre. Dallas coaches broke down a lot of film in the two weeks to tighten up defensive areas.

Trends

- The Cowboys are 12-2 ATS the week before games against the Giants.
- The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS as a road favorite off a bye week.
- The Eagles are 15-5 ATS vs. passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards a game.
- The straight-up winner in Dallas and Philly battles is 27-4-1 ATS.

Check out the NFL football betting forum to discuss picks and predictions for the week 9 betting card.


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