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NFL Betting - Eagles at Giants

September 30, 2007

NFL Football Preview - Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants 8:15 PM EST

The Eagles are currently a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 47.5 for this matchup at sportsbook.com

Philadelphia manhandled Detroit at home last week, exploding for 42 first-half points en route to a 56-21 win.

Donovan McNabb of the EaglesThe maligned QB Donovan McNabb answered critics with a 21 for 26, 381 yards and four TD performance. The quick turnaround from the prior Monday’s loss kept the Eagles from sinking to 0-3.

The Giants avoided the same perilous predicament by knocking off the Redskins in Washington, 24-17. The win helped HC Tom Coughlin’s team slow a skid that saw them lose nine of their previous 11 games.

With both teams in need of another triumph, the home field “edge” will belong to the Giants, but considering the road team has won SU & ATS in the last three head-to-head meetings, that might not be such an advantage.

On top of that, New York is 1-5 SU & ATS in its L6 home games. The OVER is on a run of 10-3 in the series.

These two scuffling NFC East rivals make another primetime appearance, trying desperately to turn around season quicker than an O.J. Simpson mood swing.

McNabb’s surgically repaired knee has him somewhere between Dante Culpepper and Carson Palmer of last season. McNabb would never be accused of being Troy Aikman from accuracy perspective and does not have the push from injured knee in throws towards the sidelines, often missing his intended target by yards, not feet.

This places Andy Reid in a bind, not wanting to put highly regarded Kevin Kolb into a position he would surely not be able to succeed, especially if winning the division crown and making the playoffs are part of the agenda.
 
The matter is made all the worse having two high-priced receivers in Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis, running pass routes without enough real chances to catch the football.

While coach Reid and his players insist his family problems have no impact on him as a coach, you have to wonder. After running the ball with exceptional results last season to make the playoffs, the Eagles ran the ball all of 20 times against Washington, gaining nearly six yards a carry.

Marty Mornhinweg is the offensive coordinator and is supposed to be calling the plays, yet the better than 2-1 pass to run ratio in that game has Reid’s fingerprints all over it. Philly has a quarterback with a bum wheel, why aren’t they running more?

On the other hand the Giants should just run for cover. Sure the season just hits the quarter pole for 28 teams this week and it’s no time to panic, nonetheless for a squad that finished last year on a 2-7 skid, it’s hard to fathom the Giants fairy godmother is going to sprinkle gold dust on the G-men and everything is going to be alright.

Reports in the Giants locker room have them talking about whether the head coach will be around later this season. Tom Coughlin’s undoing is partly his fault and the GM Jerry Reese. Coughlin does not have a strong voice in personnel matters with New York, meaning Reese is calling the shots.

The Giants have four warm bodies to play in the secondary which, in the NFL, is suicide. In the linebacking core only Anthony Pierce would be considered for an All-NFC East defense team.

Top draft pick Mathias Kiwanuka is more lost at linebacker than the cast of “Lost”. New Yorkers want to believe Michael Strahan just needs reps, yet at 35 years-old, at the lightest weight of his career, where does the resurgence come from. Reese has made this mess and Coughlin is left to clean it up.

Keys to the Game
For Philadelphia, three simple words, Run the ball. Coach Reid, please repeat, run the ball. If the Eagles do this, receivers Brown and Curtis will be more open then a Taco Bell 24-hour drive thru.

New York needs to take chances, lots of them and be aggressive. Stop Brian Westbrook at all costs and force McNabb, to borrow from baseball vernacular, to throw strikes.

The Giants may not stop Philly all night, but could force a few turnovers. Come with a game plan and stick with it. Throwing 40 times a game is fine if that is intention; just make sure at least 10 are going to Plaxico Burress for 10 or more yards down the field. 

Key Trends
The Eagles are 2-7 ATS as favorites in September facing a below .500 team.
The Giants are 8-1 ATS in a one game homestand.
The Giants are 2-6 ATS against Philadelphia in recent tilts.
The Under is 9-3 in this bitter rivalry when played at the Meadowlands.

Visit the NFL football betting forum to discuss your picks and information for the Week 4 NFL card.


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