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NFL Betting Preview Buffalo at Jacksonville

September 14, 2008

NFL Football Betting - Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday 1:00 PM ET)

Jacksonville could not get it done last Sunday at Houston and the simple thinking here is that Jaguars will be able take it home and bring it back together for an easy win. Unfortunately, it will not be that easy.

Jacksonville struggled on offense and that is going to be a common theme for a while. It finished with only 189 total yards including 33 yards rushing on 17 carries (1.9 ypc). Yes, the Tennessee Titans defensive front is awesome but at the same time the offensive line of Jacksonville is decimated.

After that 0-3 start last season, the Bills pulled together and won seven out of 10, putting themselves in the playoff hunt despite a patchwork defensive lineup and an offense that scored just 20 touchdowns, the fewest in franchise history for a 16-game season.

They folded down the stretch but never lost hope and found ways to stay in games as of the nine losses, four came by eight points or fewer including two by a single point. They showed enough to prove that they can be in the upper class of the conference.

This year, the Bills got off to a great start at home against Seattle last Sunday. Buffalo outgained the Seahawks 338-252 and it was the special teams that really made the difference.

The Bills scored on a punt return in the first half and also scored a touchdown on a fake field goal in the third quarter to put the game away. Buffalo forced Seattle to punt in each of its first seven possessions. This defense is strong once again with a lot of different faces from last season for the better.

Buffalo recorded five sacks on Sunday while David Garrard was sacked seven times in Tennessee. He also tossed two interceptions and there is no reason to think he will improve much against this revamped defense.

Buffalo did not have its way with the Seattle defense but it still looked very good as Trent Edwards was very efficient with 215 yards passing and a 95.8 passer rating. Marshawn Lynch ran for only 76 yards but it came on only 18 carries (4.2 ypc). The Jaguars allowed 4.3 ypc to Tennessee.

This is a revenge game of sorts for the Bills and while I'm not a fan of revenge on the road, Buffalo is in pretty good shape to get it. Jacksonville, despite going 3-1, was horrible in the preseason and everyone who thought this team was going to make a run at the Super Bowl had better take a longer look as this team is not in good form.

The Tom Brady injury energized teams in the AFC and none more so than the Bills who now believe they are a legitimate contender in the AFC East.

Pick: Buffalo Bills +5 (-110) available at BodogLife.

- Matt Fargo of Sportscapping.com

Be sure to check out the NFL football betting forum to read other picks or to post your own predictions.


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