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NFL Betting Preview - Houston vs. Tennessee

September 20, 2009
NFL Betting Preview and Pick - Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (Sunday 1 ET)

By Vernon Croy

Tennessee is 7 point home favorites with a game total of 41 at most sportsbooks on the internet.

Chris JohnsonThe Texans just got beat bad at home by the New York Jets and their defense looked just as bad as it did last season so I look for the Titans offense to have a big day at home Sunday.

The Titans are a lot better team than the Texans and they should be favored by more than 7 points at home so we are getting great line value here although I anticipate this line moving later in the week.

The Titans have had a few extra days to prepare for this game since they played in the season opener against the defending Super Bowl champions on the Thursday night.

Tennessee had several chances to win that game in Pittsburgh losing by just 3 points and the Titans are now a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games played in the Month of September.

The Titans run-defense looked solid against the Steelers holding them to just 36 total rushing yards and Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground against them.

Since Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground this will allow the Titans to control the tempo of the game.

Tennessee's offense did about as good as you could do against one the best defenses in the NFL on the road last week.

The Titans offense now faces one of the leagues worst defenses so I look for them to put up big numbers at home this week considering the Jets put up 24 points against the Texans on the road last week.

The Titans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against an AFC South opponent and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

The Texans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of +3.5 to +10 points and also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Tennessee.

Pick: Tennessee Titans -7 (-110) available at Sportsbook.com.

Be sure to check out the NFL football betting forum for more picks and information all season long.


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