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NFL Betting - Steelers at Broncos

October 21, 2007

NFL Football Betting Preview - Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos 8:15 PM EST

The Steelers are currently between a 3.5 to 4-point road favorite with a game total of 38.5 at most online sportsbooks for Sunday night football. 

Travis Henry, RB for the BroncosThe Broncos bye couldn't have come at a better time, as they stumbled into the open date on an 0-3 SU & ATS run. Denver has been one of the league's best post-bye teams, converting seven of their last eight opportunities both SU & ATS.

However, they have lost nine-straight games against the spread at home and are playing as more than a field goal underdog at Mile High for the first time since 1999.

Pittsburgh has been dominant in the early going, winning four of five games SU & ATS while outscoring opponents by a 26.4-9.4 margin. Their last visit to Denver was the 2006 AFC title game, a 34-17 win.
 
With one minor blemish on the 2007 resume, the rewarding benefits provided by last week's bye, and one of the most complete units in the NFL, the Steelers are riding high and ready to fight for greatness.

Through the first five weeks of the 2007 season, the Steelers have fought to join the short, but elite list of top teams in league, going 4-1 SU & ATS.

Their wins have come in dominating fashion, sporting an average point margin of +17.0, a number bested only by the illustrious New England Patriots. The number that jumps to +23.0 on natural surfaces, strong food for thought this week.

The Denver Broncos have earned respect as a franchise apparently immune to the laws of parity that govern the NFL, enjoying a long string of competitive seasons that few teams have matched during the league's history.

However, 2007 is starting to resemble a season that may break those trends as the early returns have been anything but favorable.

At 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS it shows the offense is struggling to enjoy the rewards talented commodities, but their 4-1 O/U record points to the true cause for concern.

Defensive woes have put this season in jeopardy for the Broncos and this week offers little hope for change.

Trends
The Steelers are 6-16-1 ATS as non-division away favorites. The Steelers are 17-8-1 ATS on the road off a win by 10 or more points. The Broncos are 16-6 ATS in home games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. The Broncos are home underdogs in back-to-back games for the first time since 1999.

StatFox Pick - Broncos plus the points

Visit the NFL football betting forum to post your picks or view others predictions for Week 7.


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