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NFL Football Cardinals at Rams

October 31, 2008

NFL Football Betting - Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (Sunday 1:00 PM ET)

The Cardinals are coming off another disappointing road loss last weekend as they blew a 14-point lead in Carolina. They are now 1-3 on the road for the season but those three setbacks all share one huge thing in common.

They all took place on the east coast. This game is a time zone away which is nothing and it is about time for Arizona to show what it can actually do on the road. This game is in the Edward Jones Dome and the player most comfortable in this venue plays on the other team, quarterback Kurt Warner.

After being left for dead and firing its head coach, St. Louis has been playing very well for interim head coach Jim Haslett but the solid run will soon come to an end here.

The Rams won two straight games against Washington and Dallas despite getting outgained in both contests. They also played well in New England last Sunday but now the matchup is not in their favor. This was the case last season when Arizona won both meetings and outgained St. Louis both times.

Arizona is at full strength in the passing game and that spells trouble for St. Louis. The Cardinals are 2nd in passing offense, averaging 287.7 ypg which is mostly all Warner's doing.

Warner has Anquan Boldin back at receiver and him along with Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston form one of the top receiving trios in the NFL. They will go up against the Rams defense that is 31st in the league against the pass. When Matt Cassel and Brad Johnson combined for over 500 yards passing, you know the defense is bad.

The Rams get Stephen Jackson back which is a big plus however, it may not be enough. Arizona has a solid rushing defense as it is allowing just 96.4 ypg on 4.0 ypc and those are about the exact averages that the Rams put up on offense.

The passing game is getting more consistent with Marc Bulger back at quarterback and he faces a rough Arizona secondary. However, the Cardinals have been outpassed only twice this season and their 19 sacks are 6th in the league. The Rams have been sacked 24 times, tied for 5th most.

Arizona falls into a great situation to get the job done here. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season.

This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) since 1983 including a 10-1 ATS mark over the last five seasons.

The Rams have struggled against good passing teams as they are 1-6 ATS over the last three years against teams averaging 7.0 ypa or greater. Arizona picks up its second road win of the season here.

Pick: Arizona Cardinals -3 (-102) available at

- Matt Fargo of

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