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NFL MNF Ravens at Steelers

November 05, 2007

NFL Monday Night Football - Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers 8:30 PM EST

The Steelers are currently a 9-point home favorite with the game total sitting at 36 at sportsbook.com for this AFC rivalry matchup.

Hines Ward of the SteelersPittsburgh could have its hands full on Monday, since it has struggled with the Ravens the last two years.

Even in the Super Bowl title season of 2005, the Steelers were only able to win by a point at home vs. an eventual 6-10 Baltimore team.

With four-straight ATS wins in the Head-to-Head series, Brian Billick’s team is having luck matching physical styles with Pittsburgh. His team will also be well rested, having enjoyed last Sunday off.

Baltimore is on a 5-0 SU & ATS run coming out of the bye week. The Steelers are off a divisional win at Cincinnati, and are 3-0 SU & ATS at home in ’07, having outscored each opponent by at least 21 points.

A lot has been made of the Steelers’ success on Monday Night Football, and for good reason, as they are on an 8-1 ATS run in that scenario as home chalk.

The Ravens have been anything but reliable this season despite various talents spread throughout the roster.

The offensive woes have come due to lackluster returns from the passing game while the aging defense has struggled to keep rushing yards to a minimum, yet both sides hope to improve as several key contributors are set to return from injury.

The Steelers have experienced a slight fall from early-season grace. The trend in those losses is clear: Fail to get RB Willie Parker heavily involved and the team struggles to win.

The defense has been, for the most part, stellar, holding opponents to just 250 total yards per game. 

Keys to the Game

In spite of winning records, both of these AFC North teams expected to have better records in Week 8.

The bye week gave five Baltimore starters a chance to heal, anticipating a return to the lineup. Pittsburgh’s problems have been on the road, thus a full throat of concern. Towel-waving Steeler fans loaded with liquid beverage will help the home team.

The keys to this encounter are about as predictable as an episode of Jericho. Both of the division rivals will want to run the ball, stop the run, and rush the passer.

The most important aspect will be what quarterback plays better and limits mistakes. This will be the real answer for Monday night’s physical contest.

Trends

- The Ravens are 12-2 ATS as a road dog coming off a spread loss.
- The Ravens are 18-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite.
- The Steelers are 8-1 ATS as a Monday night home favorite (5-0 ATS with revenge).
- The visitor is 10-5-1 ATS in this fierce and physical AFC North war.

Visit the NFL football betting forum to discuss tonight's Monday night football picks and predictions. 


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