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NFL Preseason Bears at Colts

August 20, 2007

NFL Preseason Preview - Chicago Bears (-2.5, 35.5) at Indianapolis Colts 8:00 PM EST

Devin Hester of the BearsThe Bears have had to live with losing last year’s most important game 29-17 in a soggy, wet atmosphere and returning home as runner-ups.

While the magnitude is not even in the same stratosphere of importance, neither team is exactly the same and getting a leg up can never hurt on the oft chance they would meet against in Arizona next February.

One of the potential major differences in Chicago will be a more explosive offense in 2007. Coach Lovie Smith and the Bears staff decided the eruptions Devin Hester created in the kicking game were too valuable a commodity to be limited just in that role.

He has been working in as a receiver with special packages to be a disruptive force also in the passing game. Rookie tight end Greg Olsen is a solid route runner with great hands who is capable of breaking down cover 2 defenses down the middle with Chicago receivers clearing out areas, creating more big play capabilities.

The triggerman and biggest key for all this to work is Rex Grossman. Chicago fans and backers are looking for a more consistent Rex then the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde routine of a year ago.

While many were screaming for Grossman to be benched late in the year, he still does not have vast amounts of NFL experience and faced baptism under fire in playing all year for the first time in his career.

This season will be more critical in his development and making a determination if he really is the quarterback to lead Chicago through the rest of this decade and beyond.

Super Bowl winning coach and one of the nicest individuals on the planet, Tony Dungy, often has put as much energy into winning preseason games as Jeff Lewis works on being a nice guy in Bravo’s TV show “Flipping Out.”

In Dungy’s five seasons in the Indiana heartland, the Colts are 8-14, covering 10 times in spite of being one of the best teams in football the last half decade.

Dungy’s principles are simple this month, do enough to get the team ready, try to avoid injuries at all cost and save energy for when the games matter most.

Indianapolis was beaten rather decidedly at Dallas 27-10, managing just 204 total yards of offense. Even if one presumes the Bears would like to take a measure of revenge, the Colts are is 10-1 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points over the last 13 plus seasons.

Indy opened as 3-point favorites at sportsbook.com and has been completely turned around to 2.5-point underdogs with a total of 35.

This really is an interesting turn of events seeing Da Bears are 8-17 ATS as favorites in the preseason and appear likely to go off as a road favorite at kickoff in the preseason for the first time in better than six years.

While preseason systems are not bountiful, this one is a real eye-catcher. Play On home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after one or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after one or more consecutive straight up wins.

This incredibly simple system is a perfect 10-0 against the spread over the past two and half seasons.

Visit the NFL football betting forum to discuss preseason picks and NFL wagering information.


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