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Old 01-25-2011, 05:15 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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Jack Jones

Connecticut vs. Marquette

Pick: Marquette -4 (-110) at Bodog.

Marquette is easily the best team in the country with 7 losses or more. Odds makers realize this as well, which is why they have set the Golden Eagles as a 4.5-point home favorite over a UConn Huskies team that is ranked No. 5 in the country at 16-2. Six of Marquette's seven losses this season have come on the road against mostly ranked opponents in Duke by 5, Gonzaga by 3, Wisconsin by 5, Vanderbilt by 1, Pitt by 8, Louisville by 1 and Notre Dame by 5. As you can see, none of their losses came by more than 8 points and six were by 5 or less which featured several second-half blown leads.

The Golden Eagles have been taking care of business at home this season, going 11-1 where they are outscoring opponents by 21.4 PPG. Marquette has won all three of their conference home games this season where they are averaging 85.1 PPG at the Bradley Center. Both of UConn's losses have come on the road this year. The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Marquette is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons. The Golden Eagles are 12-3 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. UConn is 24-44 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997. Roll with Marquette Tuesday.
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