Tuesday:
I like the looks of a few today...
4* Monaco/Real Betis Game Total UNDER 2.5 -120 (CL Qualies)
Both sides are strong here, Betis were top 5 last year in Spain and Monaco made a healthy run in the Champions League, losing to PSV Eindhoven. Different sides this year and given so early in the year (Betis hasn't started their domestic run yet), I feel this could be a low scoring affair. First leg in Spain finished a 1-0 win for Betis so this one should show just as tight. Monaco have lost Ernesto Chevanton for this match and that will be a HUGE blow here. Not to mention Spanish side Betis have lost quality Brazilian striker Denilson to turkish side Vestel Manisaspor. Two large hits to the offense in this game. I've seen 1-0 agg scores before and the 2nd ties usually start off very slow paced and careful play. I will hope for 0-0 at HT
LEANS: Thinking about Panathinaikos at -1 -102 and Rosenborg pk. I think all 3 of these plays could potentially cash. Really like the Panathinaikos play, Polish striker Tomas Frankowski isn't likely to play here as he's coming off an injury. Krakow also lost another of their strikers to Celtic in this offseason. Panathinaikos down 3-1 on aggregate after leading the game in Poland 1-0. Very strong home sides are the Greeks so maybe a bet on Panathinaikos -1 would be wise. Lean to Luton +100 over Leyton Orient +100 seems fair. 2 previous h2h meetings see Luton 3-0 home and 3-1 away. Still 1 division between these 2 clubs.
4* Lens -1.5 +100 over CFR Cluj (Intertoto)
Lens have been dominant at home in their last 5 games showing strong wins against each of: Auxerre (7-0), Marseille (2-0), Wolfsburg (4-0) and Varteks (4-1). 1 goal in last 4. I notice slight trend here with Lens in Intertoto:
1st Leg @Varteks 1-1
2nd Leg @Lens 4-1 (5-2 aggregate)
1st Leg @Wolfsburg 0-0
2nd Leg @Lens 4-0 (4-0 aggregate)
Now in a lesser club (arguably) in Cluj Lens are once again on even field with home side advantage. I can see a -1.5 cover here, they've been doing it regularly at home lately. Both in tournaments and domestic.
GL!
B