Tuesday:
Seems the closer games today I have trouble giving edge, I'll try parlay luck today
Parlay: (4 units)
Mario Ancic -400 over H.T. Lee (New York)
Lee has put up some impressive performances in the past but today likely won't be his day. Lee is 5-9 YTD and has been nothing better than a .500 player on the surface the last 2 years or so. I expect Ancic to realize his postiion here and take care of business. The last 2 events Lee has been in at LA and Indy he lost both matches in straight sets to Kevin Kim and Xavier Malisse. Not 2 highly rated players. No prior h2h
Carlos Moya -520 over Michael Llodra (New York)
As much as this year has been a struggle for Carlos, he's still 10-6 YTD. More of a pick here against Michael Llodra. He's played one event since Wimbledon (the last event) @ New Haven and was beaten down pretty good by James Blake 6-4, 6-1. I'd consider Moya's and Blake's games similar but maybe giving an edge to Moya. Llodra is out of form atm, has to be. That match Carlos played with Rafael in Montreal was a thriller. I think he has it in him today to beat Llodra in 4 sets or less. Llodra made one decent run this year @ Ordina, where he always seems to fair well. Other than that, mediocraty.
Olivier Rochus -320 over Robin Vik (New York)
Rochus frightened me last time I bet him against Volandri, didn't expect him to keep losing serve as he was. This guy is quickly becoming a favorite of mine. After all, he's taking on Robin Vik and getting a reasonable -320 whereas the other seeds are all in the -400 or higher range. I'll bite here, Olivier having a great overall year on hardcourt and seems to prefer it lately. 17-9 now YTD for Rochus. He's coming off a disappointing loss to Andreev in the last tournament but it gave him an extra week to prepare for this major. Surely he's going nowhere yet
Vik has played 0 hardcourt games in his career, he's 1-1 on grass. Having beaten Canadian Frank Dancevic, hehe.
4 units pays 3.82 units
GL!
B