Big card again today, I will hope for some more good results
Sunday:
4* Sevilla +1/2 -120 over Celta Vigo (Spain)
Vigo are now under tremendous pressure after leading La Liga coming into this weekend (Getafe is in first with their win Saturday). I feel this team isn't ready yet, even after a good run in the 1st division last season. Sevilla are very tough defensive club and given some of the high scoring games Vigo has gotten into in recent games I'd like my chances here. If Sevilla can get early lead this game can quickly turn to their favor. It's highly unlikely Vigo will score many goals here even at home. Sevilla keep them in check. Sevilla YTD: 4G, 2GF/2GA. Vigo YTD: 4G, 7GF/4GA. Meanwhile Vigo have played Malaga and Santander within those 4 games and stunned a Madrid side that SURELY underestimated them. Sevilla will not do that here. Expect low scoring match here, perhaps draw.
4* Lens -1/2 -107 over Rennais (France)
Lens are arguably most dominant team in France this year and are 10GF/1GA at home. If you count their intertoto battles their home record if dominant this last 4 months or so. Last 4 @ Lens, all wins for home side (5-2 - June 05, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0) take with this Rennais who have given up 11 goals on the road this year and sit 5th from last in table. Lens now off 5 straight draws at home here I believe will solve leaky Rennais defense (most total goals in their games). Lens will be focused and want a W here. I will put medium to high stake here (4*)
LEANS:
SV Pasching +1/2 -115 over Ried (Austria)
-Pasching haven't lost a single game H2H ever to Ried. Take with that a fierce away record, one of the only solid away records in A-Bundesliga.
Moss FK +1/2 -129 over Sogndal (Norway)
-Moss only a few points out of first places here and have most solid away record in the Tippaliagen with only 8 away goals conceeded. The race is on for Norweigan title. This would be a good play I feel given circumstances.
AZ Alkmaar/NAC Breda Game Total UNDER 3.5 -115 (Netherlands)
-Alkmaar are first place and scoring but not conceeding at great rate so far this year. NAC play tight at home almost always, this is appeal here. Breda have allowed 1 home goal so far this season as Alkmaar has only allowed 1 road goal this year. I expect maybe 1-1 or 2-1 final here, covering the 3.5. Scary league to play totals in but this one could cash today.
Middlesbrough/Sunderland Game Total UNDER 2.5 (England)
-Feel this could be a good under as well, neither of these teams are labled 'juggernauts'. Both are slightly hurting with injuries. There is no certainty to any of these rosters as Hasselbaink, Riggot and others for Middlesbrough are questionmarks. They should likely play but form will be a good question. Sunderland only lose 0-2 in London to Chelsea a few weeks ago. Road games this year for Sunderland?: 0-2 Chelsea, 0-1 Wigan, 0-1 Liverpool. 0-3 0GF/4GA. Given these stats and uncertainty in Middlesbrough offense I will ponder. This maybe a good play as well, only problem, this is only EPL game for today. This is concern.
GL today, a lot of good stuff to play
B