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Originally Posted by Wigington Alright I went 8-2 ATS for the week, lets see if I can go 9-2.
Initially when you look at a game like this you think it is one sided, but then there doubts. Looking at how much of the public is on one side and taking the dog could be the safe bet. My system shows differently.
NYJ vs ATL
NYJ off avg = 13.0ppg
Opp def avg = 18.08
NYJ is outperformed = -5.08ppg
NYJ def avg = 18.7ppg
Opp off avg = 18.13
NYJ are outperformed = -.57ppg
NYJ composite performance = -5.65ppg
ATL off avg = 24.7ppg
Opp def avg = 23.22
ATL outperforms = 1.48ppg
ATL def avg = 18.7ppg
Opp off avg = 20.1
ATL outperforms = -1.4
ATL composite performance = 2.88ppg
Last 4 years at home:
2005 2/3
2004 8/9
2003 2/8
2002 5/8
>90% = 5 points
70-90% = 4 points
55-70% = 3 points
40-55% = 2 points
25-40% = 1 point
0-25% = 0 points
Atlanta won 61% of their home games in the past 4 years, raising their edge from 8.53ppg to 11.53ppg. Atlanta -7  |
Great job Wig!!!! Keep it up!!