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| Saturday NCAAF Notes Purdue had shot at beating Wisconsin last week, but threw pair of picks for TD's, so Boilers now lost five in row in disasterous season; only two of five losses were by more than 11 points; they're minus-6 in turnovers last two weeks. Penn State covered last four games; they're 4-1 in Big 11, winning by 5,30, 7,53 pts. Boilers covered two of last 15 games; they're 2-8 as road dog.
Wisconsin covered nine of its last 13 games vs Illinois, but the Badgers have been sneaking by with defense, special teams the last two games; they had two defensive TD's last week. Illinois has been awful of late, getting outscored 195-44 in their last four games (129-20 in first half of those games). Wisconsin has game with Penn State next week, so lookahead could be a problem. Illini covered just four of last 11 as a home underdog.
Underdog is 15-1 vs spread in the last 16 Clemson-Georgia Tech tilts, with Tigers 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to this site, with wins in last two, 47-44, 39-3. Tech covered just one of last nine at home; they've been outscored 44-7 in first half of their last 3 games. Jackets are 5-11-1 in last 17 tries as home fave. Clemson has senior QB, momentum with two wins in row, and they had a breather last week, so they should be fairly healthy here.
Maryland beat Florida State 20-17 last year, so payback time for Seminole squad that is 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games, and beat Terps in last two games at this site, 52-31,35-10. FSU's last three wins are all by 17+ points, but they've allowed 24+ points in each of last three games. Maryland is 13-9 in last 22 tries as road dog; they're 2-0 on road this year, 3-1 in last four overall.
Oklahoma lost its last six visits to Lincoln; they're 3-1 in last four games, but had draining OT game vs Baylor last week. Huskers lost two of last three games, as Mizzou QB Smith ran amuck vs Nebraska last week. Huskers are 4-1 in last five tries as favorite at home. Teams are 36-58 vs spread, since '01, if they won their previous game in OT. Sooners have seven giveaways in last two games, so they've won, despite being sloppy.
NC State is struggling, 1-4 vs I-A teams; they're 2-15 vs spread in their last 17 games as favorite, and lost three of their last four games overall, with only win FG. Southern Miss won four of its last five games, but they've allowed 28+ points in each of last three games. Eagles are 2-1 on road (3-0 vs spread). C-USA road dogs are 9-1 vs spread in non-league games. ACC home faves are 5-5-1 vs spread out of conference.
Auburn covered seven of last 10 games vs Ole Miss, but Rebels hung in last two visits to this site (21-27/24-20). No love lost in this rivalry, as Tuberville once coached Rebels, then bolted for SEC rival with more cash. Tigers covered six of last nine after loss; they're 3-1 as home favorite this year. Ole Miss is 3-4, with only one loss by more than 10 points, none by more than 17 pts. Rebels are 6-3 in last nine tries as road underdog.
Texas A&M won last two games vs Iowa State, 24-21/34-3; they scored 92 points in winning last two weeks, but have given up 30.7 ppg in last three games. At 5-2, A&M has Tech, Sooners and Texas after this, so they'd better clinch bowl bid here. Iowa State is 1-3 in Big 12, with all three losses by 10 or less points; two of them were in OT. Cyclones covered seven of last 10 tries as underdog. Big 12 home favorites are 9-3 vs spread.
Minnesota has had two weeks to get over losing to Wisconsin, when punter fumbled long snap in last 0:40, costing Gophers a win and first place in Big 11. Minnesota covered just four of last 15 in this series, and one of last five after a bye. Buckeyes won four of last five games; all five of their wins are by 11+ pts- they need to contain Gopher ground game that gained 264+ yards in six of their seven games this season.
Senior QB Shockley is out for Georgia, so Tereshinski takes the reins, very difficult spot, at World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Georgia won last year's game, 31-24, their first win in last six series games, and second in last 15. While Dawgs were life-and-death to beat Arkansas last week, Gators had week off, but they've lost two of last three games, as Leak struggles with the spread option. Georgia 1-3 in last four games as underdog.
Washington State lost its last four games, allowing average of 38.5 ppg; they had game won at Cal last week, but faked a punt with 6:00 left and 38-28 lead; bad idea. Teams actually split last four series meetings, but Trojans won last two, 43-16.42-12; they allowed 21+ points in each of last four games, but are playing at home for just third time this season (70-17/42-21). Trojans 15-5 in last twenty tries as a home favorite.
Miami not only won its last four games, they outscored last four foes 94-3 in first half; they lost 31-28 at Chapel Hill last season, giving up 545 total yards, 279 on ground. Heels are 3-3; they're 14-9 vs spread in last 23 tries as road dog- their defense got a lot better last week, as they beat Virginia 7-5, after losing by 69-14 at Louisville, in previous game. Hurricanes' next game is at rival Virginia Tech, which prevents them from being a play here.
Stanford won its last three games, as dogs of 13-4-9 points- they get another shot here, vs unbeaten UCLA squad that lost last two visits to this site, 38-28,21-14. Home side won the last five in this series. Bruins scored 41+ points in six of last seven games; in their last three, they scored 46.3 ppg. UCLA is +10 in TO ratio the games they've struggled in, they've been even in turnovers. Pac-10 home dogs were 3-0 last week; they're 4-4 for season.
Fresno State humiliated Hawai'i last year, 70-14, running ball for an incredible 503 yards. Home side covered 10 of last 13 series games, with host winning four of last five, as Fresno lost last two visits to Paradise, 38-34/55-28. Warriors won last two in row but allowed 37.3 ppg in last three games. Fresno has outscored last three opponents 71-14 in second half; they're 0-2 as favorite on road this season. WAC home dogs just 2-4 this season.
Last five Michigan games were all decided by three or less pts; Wolverines are 1-5 as a favorite this season, but they have won last two games. Northwestern gained 416+ total yards in all its games this season; they won last three games, scoring 44.7 ppg and are +8 in turnovers the last four. Wildcats are 19-12 in last 31 tries as underdog, 4-1 this season. Wolverine defense gave up 20+ pts in last five games, 400+ total yards in last four.
Baylor is 1-3 in Big 12, but two losses were in OT, the fourth by 23-14 on this field. Texas Tech got smoked in Austin last week; they're 2-6 in last ten tries as road favorite. Favorite covered 8 of last 10 series games, with Tech winning last two visits to Waco, 63-19,62-14. Hard to buck Morriss' Bears as dog this season, but can they trade points vs this explosive foe, especially after their second heartbreaking OT loss this season?
Tennessee won last dozen games in this series, but road team covered last eight South Carolina-Tennessee games, with Cocks losing last two visits to Knoxville, 17-10,23-20. Vols are 3-3, very poor for them; they haven't scored point in first half of last two games. Spurrier's Carolina club is 4-3, with losses by 2,23,41 pts; favorite covered four of their last five games. Tennessee has QB controversy, as neither guy has played consistently well.
Tulane's road show (11 games in 11 stadiums this year) goes to Mobile, AL. Green Wave has to be tired, living on air mattresses at Louisiana Tech, and losing last three games, allowing average of 34.7 ppg, thanks to minus-9 turnovcer ratio. Marshall is 0-3 on road, losing by 10-27-28 points; they covered just six of last 15 tries as road dog. In the last three games, Marshall has been outscored 57-21 in second half. |