Southern Miss vs Marshall
So Miss Off Avg = 32.1 ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.3 ppg
So Miss Outperforms = 8.8 ppg
So Miss Def Avg = 24.4 ppg
Opp Off Avg = 23.9 ppg
So Miss Is Outperformed = .5 ppg
Southern Miss Composite Performance = 8.3 ppg
Marshall Off Avg = 18.5 ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.8 ppg
Marshall is Outperformed = 5.3ppg
Marshall Def Avg = 24.8 ppg
Opp Off Avg = 26.9 ppg
Marshall Outperforms = 2.1 ppg
Marshall Composite Performance = -3.2 ppg
Last 4 years at home
2005 3/4
2004 4/5
2003 4/5
2002 6/6
Marshall has won 85% of their home games in the past lowering So Miss Edge to 7.5 ppg.
I know the trends at home for Marshall and them being home dogs is tempting, but Southern Mississippi is much improved. They got beat at home against Alabama, but despite the loss held Alabama to only 17 points. Southern Miss bounces back to night.
So Miss -7 