so this is really your first go at sports betting? if that is so, i would say you have great potential. your system has made things into simple numbers--sometimes many of us tend to make this stuff too involved--so maybe in this case simple is better. a couple of questions. do you calculate all the college games on the schedule? what difference are you looking for between your numbers and the line? how many games do you feel each team needs to have played to get a valid read on the points differential? keep up the good work, your system is impressive so far but i doubt you have enough games in your sample to be sure. |