Good insight Wig.I can give you a couple of examples of what you are saying by telling you Friedmans opinon on Casino Management, sports book.To increase the 52.38% needed to overcome the sports book advantage,the great handicaper who makes his living from sports books improve their overall advantage by frequently siding and middling games.These handicappers have great insight into the way the line will move during the week prior to the game.Usually the wager is made early in the week on a particular team, once the line moves bets can be made on both teams to create an advantage.In effect handicappers risk only one unit because they will win one of their two wagers.They wager 11 units on each team.They have to win back at least 10 units on one team returning a minimum of 21 units of the 22 units wagered.If the score falls right,they can side the game winning 10 units on the the team that wins and getting their 11 units on the team that ties.If they middle that game they do even better winning 10 units on each team,for a total of 20 units.Thus they risk just one unit and can win 10 units on a side and 20 units on a middle.You are right on the money with your thinking!!Good luck. |