Game #3
Akron vs W. Michigan
This might be my #1 play of the night. Take a look at the history between these 2 teams. The last time Akron won SU was in 2002 and that was in Akron. W. Michigan has won the past 5 meetings SU and they are getting points at home tonight. Line opened with Akron favored by 3.5 points and with 69% on Akron line has dropped to 2.5. I am thinking Vegas is trying to bait the public once again. W. Michigan plays much better defense @ home. I am waiting for the public to bring this line back up to 3.
Game #4
Wisconsin vs Minnesota
Probably the biggest fade on the board if the numbers stay like they are. Minnesota opened up as a 1.5 home favorite and with 85% on Wisconsin now Minnesota is a 2 point underdog. Aside from the fade what we had was a ranked team getting points, but now they are laying points on the road. Very sharp line, but Minnesota provides value @ home. Wisconsin defensively struggles on the road giving up 84.3ppg compared to Minnesota giving up 60.4. Basketball is a game of streaks and looking at the last 5 games comparatively between these 2 teams, Minnesota is shooting better in the FG%, 3PT% & FT%.
Note*
I am scratching the Mizzou vs Oklahoma play. Mizzou is subject on the road and I feel there are some stronger games on the board tonight.
Leans Davidson -23.5
W. Michigan +3
Minnesota +2 