[Wigington]

YTD 48-33 @ 59.2%

Game #1

Washington St (86.1) @ UCLA (90.2)


Washington St

Record: 9-3
Power Rating: 86.1
Ranking: 35

0-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (6-0): 88.1 (36)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-083.7
Non-League Power Ratings: 5-082.5
Last Ten Ratings: 5-082.5

Away Ratings (2-1): 92.8 (15)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-096.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-187.9
Last Ten Ratings: 2-191.2

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 78.2 (120)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-170.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-180.9
Last Ten Ratings: 1-183.3

UCLA

Record: 13-2
Power Rating: 90.2
Ranking: 20

1-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (8-1): 81.8 (97)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-175.9
Non-League Power Ratings: 7-081.5
Last Ten Ratings: 5-177.7

Away Ratings (3-0): 100.3 (10)
1-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-090.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-099.1
Last Ten Ratings: 3-093.3

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 91.6 (30)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-090.2
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-188.9
Last Ten Ratings: 1-096.2

Based on Power Rankings alone Washington St jumps out at me as the play, but lets take a look how these 2 teams matchup statistically.

Offense For FG% 3P% FT% Reb.

WAST 64.6 47.3 40.5 74.3 27.9
UCLA 69.7 49.0 36.2 70.1 31.1

Defense For FG% 3P% FT% Reb.

WAST 55.5 36.8 29.1 67.4 28.2
UCLA 61.7 42.9 36.2 71.3 25.3


Looking upon recent matchups between these 2 teams, the last time UCLA covered the spread of 8.5 points was in 2003. Likely these were 2 different teams at the time. Another key I think looking at this line is it is inflated I believe as the last meeting in UCLA, 2/3/2005, was UCLA favored by 2 points. Why are they favored by 8.5 with injuries on both teams? My last note for this game is line movement. The %'s will change because what I am looking at is the overnight line. Right now I am showing UCLA opened up as a 8.5 point favorite and 270 bets total have been placed. 95% of those bets are on UCLA and this line has dropped to 7.5. Not really sure if it will go up or down because it is too early too tell. This is a late game so there will be plenty of time to monitor this game. Vegas pulled out some key covers tonight with inflated lines for example Florida & Memphis both double digit favorites that lost ATS and I have to think this UCLA line might be a bit inlfated as well. Either way I am leaning towards Washington St.

Lean

Washington St +7.5