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Old 01-17-06, 09:03 PM   #1 (permalink)
Wigington
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Join Date: Oct 2005
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Arrow Wigington's Tuesday NCAA

YTD 55-37

Game #1

Providence (80.2) @ W. Virginia (89.2)

Line opened up with WV favored by 13.5 and with 71% on WV ine has dropped to 12.

Offense
Providence avg 78.6ppg
W.Virginia avg 77.4ppg

Defense
Providence avg 76.0ppg
W.Virginia avg 67.1ppg

Providence seems like they have played better competition even though they have come up short several times and their record is not impressive, lets take a look at strength of schedule.

Providence losses

ND 15
Louisville 5
Georgetown 10
Memphis 8
Florida 10

W. Virginia is undefeated, but lets take a look at their schedule.

Marquette
Georgetown
Nova
S.Florida
Oklahoma
Duquesne
St Bonaventure

I would probably say that Villanova is the best team that WV has played thus far and would give strength of schedule to Providence. Looking at the last meetings between these 2 teams WV beat them by 23, but that is the only game in the past 10 meetings where WV has covered a line of 12 like tonights. Looking at the past 3 matchups the line has been 1, 5 &6. Kinda makes you wonder why the line tonight is double of what it has been in the past? Taking all the info that I have researched and the line movement, with no injuries for either team, I am leaning on Providence +12.
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