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Old 01-19-06, 05:55 PM   #1 (permalink)
Wigington
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,227
Arrow Wigington's Thursday NCAA

YTD 57-40

Montana (83.3) @ N. Arizona (73.7)

Montana


Record: 11-2
Power Rating: 83.3
Ranking: 63

0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
6-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (5-1): 79.6 (120)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-070.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-181.7
Last Ten Ratings: 4-177.8


Away Ratings (5-1): 85.8 (44)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332


N. Arizona

Record: 9-6
Power Rating: 73.7
Ranking: 177

0-0v #1-25
0-2v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-3v #101-200
7-1v #201-332

Home Ratings (4-1): 73.3 (190)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
3-1v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-078.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-167.7
Last Ten Ratings: 3-171.0


Away Ratings (3-3): 75.0 (153)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-2v #101-200
3-0v #201-332

This looks to be a tight ball game, but I really like Montana getting points here. Montana swept N. Arizona last year and I expect no different tonight. I believe why N. Arizona is favored by 1 point is due to their 7-1 record at home. I get these statistics fom Mike Greenfield's site and comparing these team's power ratings, Montana should win by 4.3 points. Now you can't just go by what some site says, one thing it does show is Montana's strong road play as they are 5-1 on the road this year. I generaly would make a play on the ML, but being a 1 point underdog doesn't really provide much value. Still early in the day, but as of 12:00 ET 362 bets have been placed and 67% of those bets are on N. Arizona. Hoping this line goes up to 1.5 or 2 before tipoff. No injuries reported for either team.

Montana +1
Status: Offline
 
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