[MistaFlava]

This is the first time I post here for NBA. If anyone knows me from the 'other' site, I have posted all these plays. So here are tonight's.


2005 NBA Playoffs: 5-1 (+19.70 Units)
2005 NBA Playoffs ATS: 2-1 (+9.70 Units)
2005 NBA Playoffs O/U: 3-0 (+10.00 Units)


Haven't been around much all season guys but here are some playoff picks. I just can't seem to get away from these games and there is just that feeling of watching the playoffs even though my Raptors are not in them.

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Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 (10 Units)

Think what you want and bet what you want but when you envision your own personal NBA Finals, does it include the Phoenix Suns? Mine doesn't. Phoenix doesn't have the experience (as a team) or the depth to beat a healthy Spurs team or even the winner or Dallas-Houston at that. Steve Nash said it best after Game 2. He said that Memphis was definitely in a great position to win that game and had they executed in the final few minutes, they woulda won the game. Sure the Phoenix Suns have played well on the road this season but going into Memphis and winning Game 3 is going to be just as easy as Boston winning Game 3 in Indiana (exactly). Had it not been for their 15 three pointers in Game 1 and some horrible basketball by the Grizzlies in Game 2, Phoenix could be down 0-2 in the series right now. I love the way Memphis has played and now that they have figured things out and seen the Suns play, it's time to pounce on a great opportunity at home. The key to beating Phoenix is getting up close with them and getting very physical with them. Memphis has an amazing crowd, the kind of crowd that almost wins ball games. Phoenix loves the three ball but they won't have much access to it tonight as the Grizz allow only 5.2 three balls to be score on them at home, while Phoenix average 9.4 three pointers on the road. The other reason Phoenix won Game 2 was their 40 free throw attempts. Playing physical against the Suns works but they will get to the line often. However, we all know how referees work for NBA home teams and this is going to be the night of the Grizz.



Seattle-Sacramento 'Over' 203.5 (5 Units)

I have no doubt in my mind that the Sacramento Kings will win tonight's game but do you risk such a high spread against a Seattle team that kicked big time ass on the road this year? Answer is no way! Seattle is 1-7 in their last eight playoff road games, while Sacramento has lost four straight game threes. Hence the reason I am all over this total and not the side. Sacramento is going to come out flying and you can bet your bottom dollar they will be attacking early and often. However, this is a team that has serious defensive issues. They don't like to get back on defense and playing with that agressive style tonight can only mean one thing....The Kings are going to allow at least 100 points but score 110 themselves. The last two meetings between these teams at ARCO both went OVER the total and both teams scored 100 points. Seattle has all the confidence in the world coming into this thing, knowing that they were one of the best road teams (23-17-1 ATS) this season. Sacramento allowed 100.2 points per home game and if they are going to win this game, they are going to have to move the ball well and pick their spots. Peja, Brad Miller and Cutt Mobley each had 9 points in Game 2 and there is now way all three are held to UNDER 20 points this game. As much as Seattle thinks they can defend, once Sacramento comes out firing and goes on that inevitable hometown run, the Sonics will have no choice but to run as well. When the Kings were favored by 5 or 5.5 this season, the OVER was 6-1. When the Sonics were 5.5 dogs this season, the OVER was 2-1.



Good Luck to all!