[nekbug]

5-3 yesterday though i wish i had of pulled trigger on ML UCSB straight up instead of just taking line. But no sense crying over lost opportunity.....

today's plays

St Mary's @ USC -2.5

St Mary's off to fast 3-1 start due to home cookin' now venture out on the road. Trojans lost home opener to S Carolina, so they're still looking for the new playpen's inaugral win.

Portland St @ Arizona St -11

Sendek era got off to a shaky start with loss in home opener to N Arizona. After win over UC San Bernadino to shake jitters can expect another big performance today against Vikings porous defense, 99 pts per game.

Wichita St @ George Mason +1.5

Last yr's cinderella wont find any opponents taking them lightly this yr but they're a solid team very well coached by Jim Larranaga and know how to win close ones. Shockers as part of last year's surprising MVC are getting benefit of being early public captivation. Take pts and Patriots at home.

Pepperdine @ CS Northridge Under 179.5

While i very rarely play O/V's this one simply too much to ignore. At first glance over would seem a lock considering the way these two putting up points, 83.3 for Pepp and 99 for Northridge, combined with porous defense, but 180 is 90-90, and at some point they're going to have to rein in offense for some b control and defense. While neither are considered much of a threat for post season and have yet to play anyone but dregs this game figures to be a where we're at gut check type affair...meaning they grind it out for a 80-75 type score.

Toledo -4.5 v Md Tenn St

Toledo respectable in it's 62-71 loss to Iowa yesterday. Md Tenn fell to Alabama 62-71 but score somewhat misleading considering Tide was without its big man Jermareo Davidson who remained home due to death of his girlfriend this week. With neither team having a win away from home i'm going to ride the stronger Rockets.

Chattanooga @ Florida -28

A huge number to be sure but Gators been leathal at home to start yr with wins by 25,40, and 29. Chat's just the day's sacrificial lamb being led to the slaughter.

California +8 +200 @ San Diego St

Aztecs off to best start in two decades but i'm calling Bears tonight. SD has been full merit for it's start but looking inside the numbers you see a team thats living on the edge...wins by 3,1 and 3 before 84-48 win over DII UC San Diego. FG % at 50 but have to wonder how much of that is due to playing a couple of DII squads? I smell upset and definitely like the price.

Fairfield +18 @ Conn

As i wrote about yesterday, Fairfields losing but hanging tough. With Calhoun breaking in so many new faces Huskies going to have to show some consistency before i spot them 18.

Wofford @ Jacksonville St PK

Home opener in a pickem game. I'll side with Gamecocks.

good hunting amigos

YTD 18-19 -2.45