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Old 03-15-05, 10:00 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default NCAA March Madness Stats and Trends

These are a couple good reads before you fill out your brackets or make a wager, also dont forget to check out the matchups page for an extensive look at the upcoming games, I will be adding more extensive handicapping tools, so look for them in the near future :D

Here is the pages Ive found, if you have any other good info, please post it in this thread, Thanks

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Old 03-15-05, 04:09 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Here is some other good info I found


#1 Seeds are 80-0 SU vs #16 Seeds... #2 Seeds are 72-8 SU vs #15 Seeds... Only once since 1988 has a #12 Seed failed to beat a #5 Seed... Favorites that finished less than .500 in their conference are 3-9-1 ATS... favorites of 7 > points who have won and covered each of their previous three games are 8-19-1 ATS… Favorites of 4 > points playing an opponent off BB SU underdog wins are 30-18-2 ATS… Underdogs of > 3 points, playing off an underdog win of +6 > points, are 20-38-2 ATS.

NCAA 1st Round Notes:
#1 Seeds off BB SU wins are 19-10 ATS... #3 Seeds off a SU favorite loss are 19-1 SU & 14-6-1 ATS... #7 Seed dogs are 11-4-1 ATS… ACC champs are 7-18 ATS and also 5-14 ATS as favs 9 > points... Best Team SU records in this round: Kentucky 19-0, Kansas 15-0, Connecticut 12-0, Stanford 10-0, Duke 8-0, Purdue 8-0, Illinois 7-0, Iowa 7-0, Maryland 7-0, Florida State 4-0 and New Mexico 4-0. Worst Team SU records in this round: Nebraska 0-5, BYU 0-4 … Best Team ATS records in this round: Tulsa 8-0, Southern Illinois 4-0, St. John’s 4-0, Stanford 4-0, Illinois 6-1, and Iowa 6-1… Worst Team ATS records in this round: Mississippi 0-5, Nebraska 0-5, Georgia Tech 0-4, Maryland 0-4 ATS and Massachusetts 0-4… Best Conference records in this round: ACC 12-1 SU last three years, Big Ten 11-2 SU last three years and PAC Ten 14-5 SU last four years… Worst Conference records in this round: Colonial Athletic Association 2-10 SU last twelve years.

NCAA 2nd Round Notes:
#8 Seeds are 14-4 ATS S/1996... #13 or worse Seeds are 3-20 SU & 6-15-1 ATS S/1991, including 2-8 ATS vs #1 Seeds... Teams playing in their same state are 50-25 ATS from 2nd round out, including 2-4 ATS last season... Overtime winners are 11-23-1 ATS during the 2nd and Sweet 16 rounds (0-1 ATS last season)... Best Team SU records in this round: Duke 7-0, UCLA 6-0, Michigan State 5-0, Kansas 4-0, Arizona 8-1, Connecticut 7-1, and Oklahoma State 5-1… Worst Team SU records in this round: Alabama 0-4, Boston College 0-4, Charlotte 0-4, New Mexico 0-4, Cincinnati 1-6, Iowa 1-6, Stanford 1-5 and Xavier 1-5… Best Team ATS records in this round: Kansas 6-0, UCLA 5-0, Connecticut 7-1 and Oklahoma State 5-1… Worst Team ATS records in this round: Wake Forest 0-7, Stanford 0-6 and Cincinnati 1-6… Best Conference records in this round: Big Twelve 11-5 SU & 13-3 last four years and Big East 10-4 SU & 11-3 ATS… Worst Conference records in this round: Colonial Athletic Conference 0-4 SU & 0-3-1 ATS last four years, PAC Ten 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS last two years and Conference USA 4-11 SU & 5-10 ATS last seven years.

NCAA Sweet 16 Round Notes:
Favorites of 9 > points are 22-12 ATS... Teams off one-point win are 7-2-1 ATS… Teams who failed ATS 1st round > 16 points are 0-7 ATS in this round… Favorites off SU dog wins are 4-14-1 ATS... Favorites off BB ATS losses are 3-6 ATS... #4 Seeds are 1-7 ATS last five years... #5 Seeds are 4-26 SU... Best Team records in this round: North Carolina 5-0 SU last ten years and Temple 4-0 ATS last fourteen years… Worst Team records in this round: Wake Forest 0-4 ATS last twelve years, Syracuse 0-3-1 ATS last seven years, Pittsburgh 0-3 SU & ATS last three years and Kansas 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS last eleven years… Best Conference records in this round: Atlantic Ten 8-2 SU & ATS last twelve years, Big Twelve 7-2 SU & ATS last three years, Big Ten 7-4 SU & 9-2 ATS last five years… Worst Conference records in this round: PAC Ten 1-6 ATS last five years, Big East 1-6 ATS last two years, Missouri Valley Conference 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS last eleven years and SEC 4-9 SU & 5-8 ATS last six years.

NCAA Elite 8 Round Notes:
Teams that score 67 < points are 7-26 SU & ATS... Teams that score 85 > points are 17-4 SU & 16-5 ATS... Teams entering Elite 8 off a win of 21 > points are 3-7 ATS... #1 Seeds are 3-8-1 ATS last four years… #2 Seeds are 6-13-1 ATS S/95… #3 Seeds 4-0 SU & ATS last four years… #4 Seeds are 6-1 SU & ATS S/92... #5 Seeds are 3-0 SU & ATS last nine years… #6 Seeds are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS last thirteen years… Best Team record in this round: North Carolina 5-0 SU & ATS last thirteen years… Best Conference record in this round: ACC 8-0 SU last six years.

NCAA Final Four Round Notes:
Teams who won by 20 > points in Sweet 16 round are 0-6 ATS in this round… Teams who are 3-0 SU & ATS last three games are 5-17 ATS since 1993, including 1-11 ATS off a win of nine or more points… teams who scored 80 > points in Elite 8 Round are 8-16 ATS in this round, including 1-8 ATS as fav last nine years… Teams off SU dog win are 6-11 ATS... teams with revenge are 1-6 ATS... Teams in this round who covered the pointspread in each of the first four NCAA tournament games are 5-15 ATS… #2 Seeds are 3-9 ATS... #3 Seeds are 6-2 ATS... Duke is 5-1 SU and North Carolina is 0-4 SU & ATS in this round.

NCAA Championship Round Notes:
Since 1989 only two eventual National Champions did not finish either #1 or tied for #1 in their Conference... Favorites of 5 < points are 7-0 ATS… Teams who lost ATS or covered by 3 < points in the Elite 8 rounds are 8-1 SU & ATS in this round… Teams with a win percentage of .810 or less are 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS…. Team in Championship Game off largest SU win is 8-5 ATS... #1 seeds are 9-3 SU last twelve games and 4-0 ATS last five years… Teams who covered their last game by 14 > points are 1-4 SU & ATS… #5 or worse seeds are 0-3 SU & ATS… ACC teams are 6-2 ATS S/90
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