NCAA BB trends - 1-28-07

Hobart · 01-28-07, 12:55 PM

NCAA BB

Write up

Sunday, January 28

-- Wisconsin won four of last five games vs Iowa, but split last two visits here: 44-59/54-52. Badgers are 6-0 in Big 11 this year, winning road games 56-50/71-64. Iowa is 3-0 at home in league, beating Michigan State, Minnesota and Penn State.

-- Tennessee's star G Lofton (ankle) probably still out, so Vols (1-4 in last five games) might still struggle; they won here a year ago, their only win in last seven series games. Kentucky lost its last two games, blowing 43-30 halftime lead at Georgia last game

-- Charlotte won 72-71 at UMass LY; 49ers are 2-4 in conference this season, 1-1 at home, losing to St Joe's, beating Dayton by 21- they're 0-4 in A-14 if they allow 60+ pts. UMass lost its last two road games, 83-77 at Xavier, 75-72 at Rhode Island.

-- Big game for Clemson, 1-3 in last four games after being hosed at Duke Thursday; they're 2-1 at home in ACC, winning by 1,20; they lost four of last five games vs Virginia, which won its last three games and is 3-0 vs spread on road, winning at NC State.

-- DePaul is 3-0 in Big East of they score 60+ pts, 0-4 if they do not, with losses by 11,10,9,14 points- they're 1-2 vs spread as an underdog. West Virginia is 4-0 at home in Big East, 3-1 as home favorite, winning 81-71/67-56/73-46/69-58.

-- Home side won last three Ohio-Ball State games, with Bobcats losing last visit to Muncie, 81-80. Ohio is 4-2 in MAC, losing its road games, both in OT, at Kent, Miami. Ball State is 2-4 in MAC 1-2 at home, losing by hoop to Toledo, by six to Kent.

-- Marquette won last two games vs South Florida, 66-64/70-63; they didn't play last season. Marquette won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they won last three road games, 73-69/74-65/77-74 at UConn/Louisville/Pitt. Favorite 6-1 vs spread in USF's games.

-- North Texas is 1-5 in last six games vs South Alabama, losing last three visits to Mobile, 99-79/67-60/80-63. USA won seven in row; they're 3-2 as Sun Belt home favorite, winning last four at home, by 17,25,14,7. UNT is 1-4 on road, losing by 4,11,24,1.

-- LSU won last three games vs Georgia, 81-52/95-79/63-59, but Tigers are just 2-3 in SEC (0-5 vs spread), losing road games by 71-61 at Alabama, 72-52 at Arkansas. Georgia won its last four games, rallying from 13-point halftime deficit to beat Kentucky.

-- Virginia Tech won last two regular season games vs Georgia Tech, both by point, but Jackets won 73-54 in ACC tournament. Hokies are 5-1 in ACC, winning at Duke, Miami; their only loss is 82-73 at Fla State. Jackets are 2-0 at home, beating Duke, FSU.

-- Duke won its first two ACC meetings vs Boston College, both by hoop; Blue Devils won last four games, by 22,22,23,2 points. BC allowed 78 ppg in its first two games without shot blocker Williams; they had allowed 68.2 ppg in ACC before he left.

-- UCLA beat Stanford twice LY, 71-54/75-54, after being 0-4 vs Cardinal previous two years; Bruins are 7-1in Pac-10, winning its road games by 15,1,16, losing at Oregon. Cardinal won four of its last five games; they blocked 18 USC shots in last game.

-- Fairfield lost 85-76 at Niagara 19 days ago, as Eagles shot 55% from floor, Stags' fifth loss in last six series games, but Fairfield won its last four games; they're 3-1 at home in MAAC. Niagara won at Marist Friday; they're 3-2 on road in MAAC.

-- Buffalo won three of its last four games vs Eastern Michigan, winning last two visits to Ypsilanti, 80-68/83-64, but Bulls are 1-5 in MAC, 0-3 on road, losing by 1,16,7, scoring just 61 ppg. EMU is 2-4 in MAC, 1-2 at home, beating lowly Northern Illinois by 1.

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NCAA BB

Short Sheet

Sunday, January 28

Wisconsin at Iowa, 1:00 EST CBS
Wisconsin: 2-9 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Iowa: 9-1 ATS at home off a conference game

Tennessee at Kentucky, 1:00 EST CBS
Tennessee: 6-0 ATS away off a road conference loss
Kentucky: 1-8 ATS at home in January

Massachusetts at Charlotte, 1:00 EST
Massachusetts: 9-1 Over away off a loss by 6 points or less
Charlotte: 3-12 ATS after playing as a road underdog

Virginia at Clemson, 1:00 EST
Virginia: 4-14 ATS away after making 13+ three-point shots
Clemson: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points

Depaul at West Virginia, 2:00 EST
Depaul: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents
West Virginia: 7-1 ATS off a non-conference game

Ohio U at Ball State, 2:00 EST
Ohio U: 20-7 ATS off an Under
Ball State: 0-7 ATS as a home underdog

Marquette at South Florida, 2:00 EST
Marquette: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents
South Florida: 11-24 ATS as a home underdog

North Texas at South Alabama, 2:30 EST
North Texas: 0-7 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
South Alabama: 6-0 ATS after playing 4+ games as a favorite

LSU at Georgia, 3:00 EST
LSU: 2-11 ATS off a loss as a home favorite
Georgia: 6-0 ATS off a conference game

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech, 3:30 EST FSN
Virginia Tech: 0-7 ATS away after scoring and allowing 75+ points
Georgia Tech: 16-6 ATS at home off a conference loss by 10+ points

Boston College at Duke, 5:30 EST FSN
Boston College: 9-1 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
Duke: 13-2 Over off BB conference wins

UCLA at Stanford, 8:00 EST FSN
UCLA: 21-5 ATS in road games
Stanford: 11-3 Under off ATS wins in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Added Game:

(TC) Niagara at Fairfield, 1:30 EST
Niagara: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Fairfield: 4-12 ATS after making 78%+ of their free throws

Write-In Game:

Buffalo at Eastern Michigan, 7:00 EST
Buffalo: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Eastern Michigan: 1-9 ATS at home off an ATS win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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NCAA BB

2006-7 Season:

Unranked Home Team vs Ranked Opponent (all records are ATS):

As a Favorite: 72% (16-6-1)

As a Dog of 0-3.5: 61% (19-12-1)

As a Dog of 4-9.5: 43% (15-20)

As a Dog of 10+: 61% (11-7-1)

Overall: 57% (61-45-3)

Unranked CONFERENCE Home Teams listed as Favorites are 15-2 ATS this year (88%)

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TEAMS THAT QUALIFY FOR SUNDAY

514 Iowa +5.5 (1pm tip)

526 SFla +6.5 (2pm tip)

530 Georgia -5 (DOUBLE DOWN...conf unranked FAV...3pm tip)

532 Ga Tech -4.5 (DOUBLE DOWN...conf unranked FAV...3:30pm tip)
536 Stanford +5 (8pm tip)

TEAMS THAT QUALIFY BUT NOT STRONG ACROSS THE BOARD BUT WORTH A LOOK IF YOU DO THE HOMEWORK
UCLA, WISCONSIN AND MARQUETTE

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Virginia at #19 Clemson (1 PM ET)
Clemson looks to rebound from a controversial 68-66 loss at Duke by returning home to Littlejohn Coliseum where the team is 15-1 dating back to last February. EDGE: CLEMSON
Virginia, which is holding opponents to just 38.8 percent shooting in conference play, opened this season with four straight wins. EDGE: UNDER

The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last five ACC games.

#2 Wisconsin at Iowa (1:05 PM ET)
The second-ranked Badgers will try for the best start in school history when they visit Iowa. The Badgers' No. 2 ranking is the highest in team history and they're 6-0 in the Big Ten for the first time since 1913-14. BIG EDGE: WISCONSIN
Iowa has won 12 straight conference games at home, the longest such streak in the history of Carver-Hawkeye Arena, which opened in 1983. BIG EDGE: IOWA

Iowa is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games versus the Big 10.

#21 LSU at Georgia (3 PM ET)
LSU is shooting a conference-worst 37.4 percent from the floor in SEC play after a strong non-conference showing when the team shot 47.2 percent and outscored opponents by an average of 16.6 points. EDGE: GEORGIA & UNDER
The Tigers have won three straight over Georgia and handed the Bulldogs their worst SEC loss since 1975 with a 81-52 victory in their only meetings last season. EDGE: LSU

LSU is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games.
Georgia is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games as a home favorite of .5-6.5 points.

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Wisconsin: Under is 6-2 in WISC last 8 road games.
WISC are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big 10.
WISC are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Iowa: IOWA are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big 10.

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Georgia Tech: GATEC are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Under is 6-2 in GATEC last 8 overall.
Under is 8-3-1 in GATEC last 12 home games.

Louisiana State: LSU are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 vs. Southeastern.
Under is 13-5 in LSU last 18 road games.
Under is 35-16 in LSU last 51 overall.

Head to Head: Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

01-28-07, 12:55 PM	#1 (permalink)
Hobart SCI Member Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 36	NCAA BB trends - 1-28-07 NCAA BB Write up Sunday, January 28 -- Wisconsin won four of last five games vs Iowa, but split last two visits here: 44-59/54-52. Badgers are 6-0 in Big 11 this year, winning road games 56-50/71-64. Iowa is 3-0 at home in league, beating Michigan State, Minnesota and Penn State. -- Tennessee's star G Lofton (ankle) probably still out, so Vols (1-4 in last five games) might still struggle; they won here a year ago, their only win in last seven series games. Kentucky lost its last two games, blowing 43-30 halftime lead at Georgia last game -- Charlotte won 72-71 at UMass LY; 49ers are 2-4 in conference this season, 1-1 at home, losing to St Joe's, beating Dayton by 21- they're 0-4 in A-14 if they allow 60+ pts. UMass lost its last two road games, 83-77 at Xavier, 75-72 at Rhode Island. -- Big game for Clemson, 1-3 in last four games after being hosed at Duke Thursday; they're 2-1 at home in ACC, winning by 1,20; they lost four of last five games vs Virginia, which won its last three games and is 3-0 vs spread on road, winning at NC State. -- DePaul is 3-0 in Big East of they score 60+ pts, 0-4 if they do not, with losses by 11,10,9,14 points- they're 1-2 vs spread as an underdog. West Virginia is 4-0 at home in Big East, 3-1 as home favorite, winning 81-71/67-56/73-46/69-58. -- Home side won last three Ohio-Ball State games, with Bobcats losing last visit to Muncie, 81-80. Ohio is 4-2 in MAC, losing its road games, both in OT, at Kent, Miami. Ball State is 2-4 in MAC 1-2 at home, losing by hoop to Toledo, by six to Kent. -- Marquette won last two games vs South Florida, 66-64/70-63; they didn't play last season. Marquette won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they won last three road games, 73-69/74-65/77-74 at UConn/Louisville/Pitt. Favorite 6-1 vs spread in USF's games. -- North Texas is 1-5 in last six games vs South Alabama, losing last three visits to Mobile, 99-79/67-60/80-63. USA won seven in row; they're 3-2 as Sun Belt home favorite, winning last four at home, by 17,25,14,7. UNT is 1-4 on road, losing by 4,11,24,1. -- LSU won last three games vs Georgia, 81-52/95-79/63-59, but Tigers are just 2-3 in SEC (0-5 vs spread), losing road games by 71-61 at Alabama, 72-52 at Arkansas. Georgia won its last four games, rallying from 13-point halftime deficit to beat Kentucky. -- Virginia Tech won last two regular season games vs Georgia Tech, both by point, but Jackets won 73-54 in ACC tournament. Hokies are 5-1 in ACC, winning at Duke, Miami; their only loss is 82-73 at Fla State. Jackets are 2-0 at home, beating Duke, FSU. -- Duke won its first two ACC meetings vs Boston College, both by hoop; Blue Devils won last four games, by 22,22,23,2 points. BC allowed 78 ppg in its first two games without shot blocker Williams; they had allowed 68.2 ppg in ACC before he left. -- UCLA beat Stanford twice LY, 71-54/75-54, after being 0-4 vs Cardinal previous two years; Bruins are 7-1in Pac-10, winning its road games by 15,1,16, losing at Oregon. Cardinal won four of its last five games; they blocked 18 USC shots in last game. -- Fairfield lost 85-76 at Niagara 19 days ago, as Eagles shot 55% from floor, Stags' fifth loss in last six series games, but Fairfield won its last four games; they're 3-1 at home in MAAC. Niagara won at Marist Friday; they're 3-2 on road in MAAC. -- Buffalo won three of its last four games vs Eastern Michigan, winning last two visits to Ypsilanti, 80-68/83-64, but Bulls are 1-5 in MAC, 0-3 on road, losing by 1,16,7, scoring just 61 ppg. EMU is 2-4 in MAC, 1-2 at home, beating lowly Northern Illinois by 1. - - - - -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NCAA BB Short Sheet Sunday, January 28 Wisconsin at Iowa, 1:00 EST CBS Wisconsin: 2-9 ATS away vs. conference opponents Iowa: 9-1 ATS at home off a conference game Tennessee at Kentucky, 1:00 EST CBS Tennessee: 6-0 ATS away off a road conference loss Kentucky: 1-8 ATS at home in January Massachusetts at Charlotte, 1:00 EST Massachusetts: 9-1 Over away off a loss by 6 points or less Charlotte: 3-12 ATS after playing as a road underdog Virginia at Clemson, 1:00 EST Virginia: 4-14 ATS away after making 13+ three-point shots Clemson: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points Depaul at West Virginia, 2:00 EST Depaul: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents West Virginia: 7-1 ATS off a non-conference game Ohio U at Ball State, 2:00 EST Ohio U: 20-7 ATS off an Under Ball State: 0-7 ATS as a home underdog Marquette at South Florida, 2:00 EST Marquette: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents South Florida: 11-24 ATS as a home underdog North Texas at South Alabama, 2:30 EST North Texas: 0-7 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games South Alabama: 6-0 ATS after playing 4+ games as a favorite LSU at Georgia, 3:00 EST LSU: 2-11 ATS off a loss as a home favorite Georgia: 6-0 ATS off a conference game Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech, 3:30 EST FSN Virginia Tech: 0-7 ATS away after scoring and allowing 75+ points Georgia Tech: 16-6 ATS at home off a conference loss by 10+ points Boston College at Duke, 5:30 EST FSN Boston College: 9-1 ATS off a win by 6 points or less Duke: 13-2 Over off BB conference wins UCLA at Stanford, 8:00 EST FSN UCLA: 21-5 ATS in road games Stanford: 11-3 Under off ATS wins in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games Added Game: (TC) Niagara at Fairfield, 1:30 EST Niagara: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games Fairfield: 4-12 ATS after making 78%+ of their free throws Write-In Game: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan, 7:00 EST Buffalo: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss Eastern Michigan: 1-9 ATS at home off an ATS win ** (TC) Denotes Time Change - - - - NCAA BB 2006-7 Season: Unranked Home Team vs Ranked Opponent (all records are ATS): As a Favorite: 72% (16-6-1) As a Dog of 0-3.5: 61% (19-12-1) As a Dog of 4-9.5: 43% (15-20) As a Dog of 10+: 61% (11-7-1) Overall: 57% (61-45-3) Unranked CONFERENCE Home Teams listed as Favorites are 15-2 ATS this year (88%) _____________________________ TEAMS THAT QUALIFY FOR SUNDAY 514 Iowa +5.5 (1pm tip) 526 SFla +6.5 (2pm tip) 530 Georgia -5 (DOUBLE DOWN...conf unranked FAV...3pm tip) 532 Ga Tech -4.5 (DOUBLE DOWN...conf unranked FAV...3:30pm tip) 536 Stanford +5 (8pm tip) TEAMS THAT QUALIFY BUT NOT STRONG ACROSS THE BOARD BUT WORTH A LOOK IF YOU DO THE HOMEWORK UCLA, WISCONSIN AND MARQUETTE ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Virginia at #19 Clemson (1 PM ET) Clemson looks to rebound from a controversial 68-66 loss at Duke by returning home to Littlejohn Coliseum where the team is 15-1 dating back to last February. EDGE: CLEMSON Virginia, which is holding opponents to just 38.8 percent shooting in conference play, opened this season with four straight wins. EDGE: UNDER The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last five ACC games. #2 Wisconsin at Iowa (1:05 PM ET) The second-ranked Badgers will try for the best start in school history when they visit Iowa. The Badgers' No. 2 ranking is the highest in team history and they're 6-0 in the Big Ten for the first time since 1913-14. BIG EDGE: WISCONSIN Iowa has won 12 straight conference games at home, the longest such streak in the history of Carver-Hawkeye Arena, which opened in 1983. BIG EDGE: IOWA Iowa is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games versus the Big 10. #21 LSU at Georgia (3 PM ET) LSU is shooting a conference-worst 37.4 percent from the floor in SEC play after a strong non-conference showing when the team shot 47.2 percent and outscored opponents by an average of 16.6 points. EDGE: GEORGIA & UNDER The Tigers have won three straight over Georgia and handed the Bulldogs their worst SEC loss since 1975 with a 81-52 victory in their only meetings last season. EDGE: LSU LSU is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games. Georgia is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games as a home favorite of .5-6.5 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wisconsin: Under is 6-2 in WISC last 8 road games. WISC are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big 10. WISC are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. Iowa: IOWA are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big 10. ---------------------------------------------------------- Georgia Tech: GATEC are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Under is 6-2 in GATEC last 8 overall. Under is 8-3-1 in GATEC last 12 home games. Louisiana State: LSU are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 vs. Southeastern. Under is 13-5 in LSU last 18 road games. Under is 35-16 in LSU last 51 overall. Head to Head: Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
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