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Old 01-30-07, 03:31 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default NCAA BB trends 1-30-07

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NCAA BB

Write up


Tuesday, January 30





Visiting team won four of last five Notre Dame-Syracuse tilts, with teams splitting last two here. Irish are 0-3 on Big East road, losing 66-48/102-87/71-68 at Georgetown/Villanova/St John's. Syracuse lost last two games; they're 1-1 as a home favorite.

Mississippi State won six of last seven games vs Ole Miss; in first meeting this year, State won 77-67, outscoring Rebels 21-6 from foul line, holding them to 32.9% from floor. State is 0-2 on SEC road, losing by 8,4. Ole Miss won last two home games.

Northern Iowa won 63-59 at Wichita Dec 30; they're 6-2 in last eight games vs shockers, who won for first time in six games on road Saturday at Evansville. UNI lost last two games, scoring 57.5 ppg, but they're 4-1 at home in Valley, losing to Creighton.
Northern Illinois lost last six games (0-6 vs spread), with away losses, 63-62/71-60/76-60; Huskies lost to Miami last two years, 58-56/64-59. Red Hawks are 5-2 in MAC, 3-0 at home, 1-2 as fave winning home games 65-63 (Kent)/66-60 (BG)/72-69ot (Ohio)

Home side won last four Maryland-Florida State games, with Terps losing last two visits here, 71-60/79-75. Maryland is 0-3 on ACC road,, losing 73-62/103-91/67-64ot at BC/UVa/VaTech. FSU won last three home games, 82-73/86-67/74-66 (2-1 as home fave)

Evansville crushed Illinois State 69-41 Dec 9, holding ISU to 26.9% from floor, making 8-12 3's, but Aces are are 1-4 on road in Valley, with losses by 7,3,52,13 pts. Redbirds won three of last four home games; they're 1-1 as favorite in Valley games.

Home side won last four Georgia Tech-Wake Forest games, as Tech lost last two visits to Wake, 86-71/98-91; Jackets lost three games in row, by 16,15,8 points- they're 0-4 on ACC road. Wake lost last six games, all by 8+ points (1-5 vs spread in last six).

Home side won last three Colorado-Baylor games, with Buffs losing last visit here, 67-59; they beat Baylor twice LY, 81-48 at home, then 65-61 in Big 12 tourney. Both sides are 1-6 in Big 12, with Buffs 0-3 on road, losing 78-59/71-50/97-74 (1-2 road dog).

Illinois lost 63-57 at Michigan State Jan 14, shooting just 39% from floor; they're still 5-2 in last seven games vs Spartans, with wins in last two here, 60-50/75-51. State rallied from 20 down at half at Ohio St Sat, have Buckeyes again Sat, tough spot here.

UNLV won five of last six games vs Colorado State, winning last two visits here, 80-72/81-79. Rebels won last four games in MWC, but are 1-2 on road, winning 75-66 at TCU. Rams are 3-0 vs spread at home in conference, winning 73-57/90-78.

Home side won last six Wyoming-New Mexico games, as the Cowboys lost last three visits here, 47-45/89-75/87-75. Cowboys are 4-3 in MWC, 7-0 vs spread; they're 1-2 on road, winning by point at San Diego St, losing 89-81 at BYU, 62-60 at Utah. New Mexico is 1-6 in MWC, losing last three, by 5,21,4 points.

Home side won five of last six Marist-Manhattan games, with Red Foxes losing last three visits to Draddy, 90-79/86-54/92-67. Marist lost two of last three after 6-1 start; they're 3-2 on MAAC road. Jaspers are 7-3 in MAAC, but lost last two home games.

Elon lost 86-61 at Davidson Dec 1 (+17), their seventh loss in row vs Wildcats, who won 68-57 last time they visited. Elon lost last four home games, by 3,4,1,10 pts, as underdog covered all five of their SoCon home games. Davidson is 4-1 as road fave.

Home side won five of last six Tennessee St-Jacksonville St games, with Tigers losing two of last three visits to this site, by 77-75/93-69/86-70. TSU won last two road games; this is third game in five nights for both sides. Jax St won last two at home.


- - - -



NCAA BB



Tuesday, January 30





Mississippi State at Mississippi (ESPN | 7 PM ET)
Mississippi State owns a 132-102 all-time series lead over Mississippi, including 10 wins in the last 11 meetings since the 2001-02 season. BIG EDGE: MISSISSIPPI STATE
Mississippi State's last seven losses have been by a collective total of just 33 points (4.7 ppg). The Bulldogs four SEC setbacks this season have come by an average of 4.5 points per game. EDGE: MISSISSIPPI STATE

The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings.





Michigan State at Illinois (ESPN | 9 PM ET)
Michigan State is 17-7 all-time on January 30th, including 7-6 on the road. SLIGHT EDGE: MSU
Illinois leads the all-time series with Michigan State 52-49, including a 33-15 record in Champaign. Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 12-10 during his career against the Illini. EDGE: ILLINOIS

The Fighting Illini are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.
The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games versus the Big 10.


- - - -



NCAA BB

Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 30





Notre Dame at Syracuse, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Notre Dame: 17-3 ATS as a road underdog or pick
Syracuse: 2-10 ATS at home off a road game

Mississippi State at Mississippi, 7:00 EST ESPN
Mississippi State: 6-0 Under after playing a game as a home favorite
Mississippi: 0-6 ATS at home after a loss by 6 points or less

Wichita State at Northern Iowa, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Wichita State: 3-12 ATS after playing BB games as a fave
Northern Iowa: 18-8 Under at home off an Under

Northern Illinois at Miami OH, 7:30 EST
Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a conference game
Miami OH: 9-1 Under after a loss by 6 points or less

Maryland at Florida State, 8:00 EST
Maryland: 3-13 ATS Away off an ATS win
Florida State: 9-2 Under after playing a game as favorite

Evansville at Illinois State, 8:00 EST
Evansville: 10-0 ATS off a home game
Illinois State: 6-0 Over revenging a DD loss

Georgia Tech at Wake Forest, 8:00 EST
Georgia Tech: 20-6 ATS off 3+ SU losses
Wake Forest: 0-6 ATS at home after playing a game as an underdog

Colorado at Baylor, 8:30 EST
Colorado: 0-7 ATS off a conference loss by 20+ points
Baylor: 12-1 ATS after a game where they made 78%+ of their free throws

Michigan State at Illinois, 9:00 EST
Michigan State: 10-1 Under as a road underdog
Illinois: 4-14 ATS in all lined games this season

UNLV at Colorado State, 9:00 EST
UNLV: 6-0 ATS Away off a SU win
Colorado State: 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3

Wyoming at New Mexico, 9:00 EST
Wyoming: 7-0 Over after playing BB games as a home favorite
New Mexico: 6-0 Over at home if the total is 140 to 149.5


Added Games:

Marist at Manhattan, 7:00 EST
Marist: 8-2 Over vs. conference opponents
Manhattan: 8-1 ATS as an underdog

Davidson at Elon, 7:00 EST
Davidson: 11-4 ATS as a favorite
Elon: 10-2 Under off BB ATS wins

Tennessee State at Jacksonville State, 9:00 EST ESPNU
Tennessee State: 0-6 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3
Jacksonville State: 22-11 ATS vs. conference opponents

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
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Old 01-30-07, 07:34 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Very nice Hobart. Thanks....
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