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Wed 12-8 NCAAB Info, Picks and Trends

Wed 12-8 NCAAB Info, Picks and Trends


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Old 12-08-2010, 12:45 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Thumbs up Wed 12-8 NCAAB Info, Picks and Trends

College Basketball | Wednesday, December 8

Rhode Island beat Northeastern last three years by 3-13-20 points; URI is 5-3, 0-2 on road, losing at Pitt/Providence- they're 3-3 as favorite this year. Northeastern lost last four games, three by 5 or less points. A-14 teams are 4-8 vs spread in games where spread is 3 or less. CAA teams are 6-5 in games where spread is 3 or less.

3-3 Seton Hall is without leading scorer Hazell (wrist); they've been off for nine days, are 1-3 away from home, losing to Clemson-Xavier down in Virgin Islands after Hazell got hurt (scored 52-58 points). Arkansas is 5-1, losing by 5 to UAB on neutral floor, in their only game away from home. SEC underdogs of less than 7 points are 9-4 vs spread.

Boston College beat Providence last two years by 5 points each, after losing to Friars the two years before that. 6-2 Eagles have 4 starters back from LY, but aren't real deep; they've already beaten Texas A&M/Cal, but also lost to Yale. Third game in five nights for 9-1 Providence team whose only good win was 87-74 win over Rhode Island Saturday.

Villanova beat Penn last seven years; they beat Quakers 103-65 LY after 22-point win year before. Wildcats are 6-1, losing only to Tennessee on neutral floor; they're 3-2 vs spread as a favorite. Penn is 4-4, losing by 24 Pitt, only decent team they've played. Big East double digit favorites are 19-15. Ivy League double digit underdogs are 4-7.

North Carolina is just 5-3; only once in their last six games did they win by more than 5 points. UNC is 1-3 vs spread as favorite; they lost only true road game 79-67 at Illinois (+6.5). Erratic Evansville won at Butler, but its their only win in last four games (lost at Air Force by 1, by 12 at Middle Tennessee). MVC single digit dogs are 9-12, 0-3 at home.

Minnesota is 7-1, but struggled in last two games, beating Cornell 71-66 (-16) after 87-79 home loss to Virginia (-13); this is Gophers' first true road game, but they did go 3-0 in Puerto Rico tourney. St Joe's lost LY at Minnesota 97-74. Third game in six nights for St Joe's squad that lost last three games, by 12 at Drexel, 11 at Villanova, 9 at Princeton.

Texas Tech won six of last eight games vs TCU, winning three of its last four here, with wins by 13-27-7 points (TCU won last visit here 85-80). Red Raiders lost three of last four games- they trailed last game 61-42 at half in Seattle. Tech is 1-3 as a favorite this year. First road game for 6-3 Horned Frogs, whose losses are by 15-19-6 points.

Oklahoma State/Tulsa split one-sided wins last two years; Cowboys are 7-1, winning last game in double OT at LaSalle Saturday, first true road fame of year. OSU lost to Virginia Tech, only top 100 team they've met so far. Tulsa is 4-3, with losses by 3-9-2 points. C-USA teams are 8-4 vs spread in games where spread is 4 or less points.

Missouri lost 89-83 at Vanderbilt LY, in what was their first true away game of year; Tigers are 6-1 after tough week last week, when they lost in OT to Georgetown, then won by 3 at Oregon, after leading by 20 at half. First true road game for 7-1 Vanderbilt team that beat No Carolina and lost to West Virginia by 3 on neutral court.

Young Kentucky is 5-2 playing 5th-hardest schedule in country, losing by 17 to UConn on Maui, by hoop at North Carolina Saturday- they've also beaten Washington on neutral court. Notre Dame is 8-0 against #222 schedule, but they did beat Georgia/Wisconsin on neutral floor. Big East single digit underdogs are 8-3. SEC single digit favorites are 11-12.

Cal Bears are 5-2, losing on neutral floor to Notre Dame (57-44, +3) and Boston College (68-46, +1); Cal lost its top four scorers from last year's 24-11 team- they've also beaten decent New Mexico team by 25 on this floor. San Diego State is 8-0 against #44 schedule, with wins at Gonzaga by 3, at Long Beach by 16. Pac-10 underdogs are 8-11, 4-2 at home.

Gonzaga lost three of its last five games, losing 81-64 to Kansas State in Kansas City, pretty much home game for Wildcats; Zags lost 73-61 to Illinois in Seattle Saturday, and also lost at home to San Diego State, so they may have slipped little this year. Washington State lost six of last eight vs Gonzaga, with last two series wins by 10-4 points in '07, '08.

Road team is 5-3 in last eight Niagara-Buffalo games; teams split last four played here. Bulls are 4-3 with last three games all decided by four or less points- they won only home game 87-76 (-7.5) over Towson St. Niagara lost last four games, allowing 83.3 ppg- they lost couple road games in MAAC play over weekend, by 8 at Marist, 24 at Iona.
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Old 12-08-2010, 12:45 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Notre Dame vs. Kentucky

The Wildcats look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in that last 5 meetings between the two teams. Kentucky is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 7 1/2.

Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-5 1/2).
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Old 12-08-2010, 12:50 PM   #3 (permalink)
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7:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. FORDHAM
Manhattan is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Manhattan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Fordham
Fordham is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
Fordham is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
Minnesota is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games

7:00 PM
PROVIDENCE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Providence is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston College is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Providence
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. BUFFALO
Niagara is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Niagara
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SETON HALL vs. ARKANSAS
Seton Hall is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
VILLANOVA vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Villanova is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Villanova is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Villanova
Pennsylvania is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
TOWSON STATE vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Towson State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
George Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
George Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WRIGHT STATE
Air Force is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Wright State is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
Wright State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. BOWLING GREEN
Western Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Bowling Green is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Western Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
LOYOLA vs. GEORGE MASON
No trends available
George Mason is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. NORTHEASTERN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rhode Island's last 5 games on the road
Northeastern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rhode Island
Northeastern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LOUISVILLE
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of North Carolina's last 10 games on the road
North Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Evansville is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Evansville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. MARYLAND
UNC Greensboro is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Maryland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

8:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. LOYOLA OF CHICAGO
SIU Edwardsville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Loyola of Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Loyola of Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
TCU vs. TEXAS TECH
TCU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
TCU is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Texas Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Texas Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing TCU

8:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS
Ball State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Illinois is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Eastern Illinois is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
Duquesne is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Wisc-Green Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
DRAKE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Drake is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

8:05 PM
DEPAUL vs. INDIANA STATE
DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:05 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SE Missouri State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Illinois
SE Missouri State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
Southern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against SE Missouri State

8:05 PM
OHIO vs. ILLINOIS STATE
Ohio is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Illinois State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Illinois State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
CS FULLERTON vs. ARIZONA
CS Fullerton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. WISCONSIN
Wisc-Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisc-Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing Wisc-Milwaukee

9:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MISSOURI
Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Missouri is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. TULSA
Oklahoma State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 6 games
Tulsa is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
BRADLEY vs. DUKE
Bradley is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Bradley's last 8 games on the road
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. KENTUCKY
Notre Dame is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games on the road
Kentucky is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame

10:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. UNLV
Boise State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boise State's last 10 games on the road
UNLV is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UNLV is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. COLORADO
Colorado State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado State

10:00 PM
DENVER vs. ST. MARY'S
Denver is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
St. Mary's is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
St. Mary's is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

10:30 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. CALIFORNIA
San Diego State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
California is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

11:00 PM
GONZAGA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Gonzaga is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Gonzaga is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Gonzaga
Washington State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Gonzaga
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Old 12-08-2010, 12:52 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Tom Stryker

Detroit vs. Western Michigan

Back on November 15th, 2009, Western Michigan traveled to Detroit and left the Motor City with a frustrating 86-80 loss in its pocket. Rest assured, in this revenge battle, the Broncos will take care of business.

Don't be fooled by WMU's 2-4 SU record. Head coach Steve Hawkins and the boys have played some pretty good teams. Western's four blemishes have come at Xavier, at home to Loyola Chicago and Illinois and at Towson. The fact that this game is being played inside University Arena is huge for the Broncos.

With Hawkins on the bench, WMU has posted a jaw-dropping 74-20 SU record in Kalamazoo including 24-9 SU against non-conference opponents. Also, as a home favorite (or pick), the Broncos have played very well provided they check in with momentum off a straight up home win notching a stellar 25-15 ATS mark including a stunning 14-3 ATS in this role facing a team that enters off a straight up victory as well.

Knocking off Detroit won't be an easy task. The Titans have faced the likes of New Mexico, Syracuse and Mississippi State early in the season and they are battled tested. Fortunately, Detroit is locked into one of its worst team roles. As a single digit road underdog (or pick) coming off a straight up win, the Titans are a pathetic 17-32-1 ATS.

Detroit faced the Lobos, Orangemen and Bulldogs on the road this year and dropped all three averaging only 61.7 points in the process. The Broncos enter off an impressive 109-50 home win over Alma College and they'll be up for this revenge challenge.

Take Western Michigan -2.
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Old 12-08-2010, 12:54 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Rob Vinciletti

Denver vs. Saint Marys CA

St.Mary's is the top team in the Western Conference and will be looking to bounce back from a loss at San Diego St where they were held to a season low 39% shooting from the field. They check in at 27-9 ats in non conference games and 26-10 ats after a non conference game. They are 6-0 at home and are winning by an average 37 points per game.

Tonight they take on a Denver team that slipped past Cal Northridge in their last game. However Denver is mediocre once again this season and are 1-6 ats in non conference games. They have allowed their last 2 opponents to shoot 505 or better from the field as well. This one could get ugly and fast.

Take St. Mary's -19.
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Old 12-08-2010, 12:56 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Rocky Atkinson

Rhode Island vs. Northeastern

Rhode Island comes in with a 5-3 overall record this year while Northeastern has a 2-4 overall record on the season.

Rhode Island is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS since 1997 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or a pick.

Rhode Island is 15-2 SU last 3 years after allowing 80 points or more. Rhode Island is 6-0 SU overall vs Northeastern since 1997.

Huskies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record.

Huskies are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Huskies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Wednesday games.

Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Huskies are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

We'll recommend a small play on Rhode Island (-1) tonight!
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