[Tommy]

College Basketball | Monday, December 13

Wisconsin lost 88-84 in OT at Green Bay LY, after having won seven in row in series, but none of those seven wins were by more than 20 pts. Badgers are 8-2 this year, 3-2 as favorites. Big 11 home favorites of 20+ points are 6-3 vs spread. Horizon road underdogs of 15+ points are 1-4. Green Bay is 2-5 vs D-I teams, 2-3 vs spread as underdogs.

10-0 San Diego State is 8-1 vs spread in lined games, covering last six in row; Saturday's 77-49 win over San Diego was their first win this year by more than 21 points. Cal Poly is 2-6, but none of the losses are by more than 19 points. Big West road underdogs of 17+ points are 5-3 vs spread. Mountain West home favorites of 17+ are 4-1.

UCLA lost four of last five games, but only lost by a point at Kansas; they're 2-4 vs spread as favorite, winning by 13-33-11 points in games vs Big West teams this season. Cal-Davis is 2-4 vs spread as underdogs. Pac-10 home favorites of 15+ points are 13-3 vs spread. Big West road underdogs of 17+ points are 5-3 vs spread.

2-6 Siena lost its last four games, and was underdog in both wins; they are 0-2 as favorite this seaon. MAAC single digit home favorites are 3-5 vs spread. Florida Atlantic won its last three games, winning at Miss St and Hofstra; they're 4-2 vs spread as an underdog this season. Sun Belt road underdogs of 7 or less points are 4-10.

Oregon is 2-3 in last five games vs D-I teams; they're 2-3 as favorite, and have road trip to Virginia on deck later this week. Jacksonville State lost seven of eight games vs D-I teams; underdogs are 5-0 vs spread in their line games. OVC road underdogs of 12+ points are 12-4 vs spread. Pac-10 home favorites of 15+ points are 13-3 vs spread.

[Tommy]

UC Davis at UCLA

The Bruins look to take advantage of a UC Davis team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games overall. UCLA is the pick (-17 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 20.

Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-17 1/2).

[Tommy]

Jimmy Boyd

Wisconsin-Green Bay vs. Wisconsin

Further motivated by back-to-back defeats, expect Wisconsin-Green Bay to be competitive in this in-state rivalry game. The Phoenix upset Wisconsin last season. While the Badgers will be out for revenge, we can't ignore the fact that they haven't defeated the Phoenix by 21 points since 1999. As a result, the Phoenix are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall and 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Wisconsin.

The Over/Under line is also very telling as Wisconsin-GB is 11-3 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons. The Phoenix are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Take the points.

Pick: Wisconsin-Green Bay +21 -110