[Tommy]

College Basketball | Tuesday, January 25, 2011


NC State (12-7) @ Clemson (13-6) 7:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Clemson -7½ | 138

NC State beat Clemson 59-57 in ACC tourney LY, ending 5-game skid in series; Wolfpack lost its last two visits here, by 16-12 points. Home side is 5-0 SU in Clemson's ACC games; Tigers won both their games at Littlejohn, by 7-25 points. NC State is 0-2 on ACC road, losing by 9 at BC, 13 at FSU. ACC home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-5-2.


Richmond (15-5) @ Dayton (15-5) 7:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Dayton -2½ | 131½

Home side won last six Richmond-Dayton games; Spiders lost last four visits here, by 5-3-18-6 points. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Dayton's A-14 games, with Flyers winning by 6-34 points at home. Visitor is 5-0 vs spread in Richmond's league games; Spiders won road games by 19-16 points. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-8 vs spread.


Seton Hall (8-12) @ (9) Syracuse (18-2) 7:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Syracuse -12½ | 134½

Syracuse (-7) won at Hazell-less Seton Hall 61-56 on Jan 8; Pirates were just 3-26 from arc, Orange only 17-36 at charity stripe. Syracuse lost its last two games after having been undefeated; they're 2-1 as home fave, winning by 7-12-15 points. Seton Hall are 0-3 as road dogs, losing away games by 17-19-21 points. Big East double digit home favorites are 6-7.


Buffalo (11-6) @ Western Michigan (10-8) 7:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Buffalo -2½ | 138

Buffalo was down 18 at half at Ohio Saturday, rallied to win by 5; Bulls won last three MAC games to get to 3-2, in 4-way tie atop MAC East- they're in 4-way tie atop MAC East. Home team is 5-0 SU, 4-1 against spread in Western Michigan's MAC games; Broncos won MAC home games by 7-17-2 pts. MAC home underdogs are 2-4 against the spread.


(24) Florida (15-4) @ Georgia (14-4) 7:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Georgia -2½ | 134½

Florida lost 78-76 at Georgia LY, its first loss in last 14 games vs Dawg squad that that is 4-1 vs spread in first five SEC games; Gators are 5-1 in last six visits here, winning by 12-18-10-13-2 pts. Florida is 2-0 on SEC road games, winning both games by 5. Georgia won two of its three SEC home games. SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-4 vs spread.


Bowling Green (8-11) @ Toledo (4-15) 7:30 ET

5Dimes Odds: Bowling Green -5 | 119½

Toledo is awful, losing four of five in MAC; they're 1-2 as home dog in MAC, losing home games by 23-10 points, with an upset win against Western Michigan. Bowling Green is 3-2 in MAC, 3-1 as an underdog, losing road games by 17-5 points, with double OT win at Buffalo. MAC home underdogs are 2-4 against the spread. Falcons are 2-0 as favorites.


(6) Kansas (18-1) @ Colorado (14-6) 8:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Kansas -7½ | 152½

Kansas is 14-0 vs Colorado the last seven years, but needed OT to win in this gym LY; Jayhawks won last seven visits here, by 15-15-12-29-13-17-6 points. Kansas lost to Texas at home Saturday after leading by 15 early on- only one of its three Big 12 wins is by more than 5 points. Big 12 home underdogs are 4-4. Buffs are 2-0 at home in Big 12 games.


Missouri State (16-4) @ Drake (8-12) 8:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Missouri State -9 | 129½

Missouri State won 12 of last 14 games vs Drake, losing two of its last three at this site; Bears' last five wins at Drake by; 1-11-5-6-18 points. MVC home underdogs of more than 4 points are 0-4 vs spread. State's last two games were both decided by a point; they're 4-1 on MVC roa, 3-2 as road favorite. Drake covered one of its last five MVC games.


(5) Connecticut (16-2) @ Marquette (13-7) 9:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Marquette -4½ | 145

Marquette is 3-2 vs UConn, splitting two games played here; average total in those five games is 158. Eagles are 6-1 vs spread in league, but they're 2-3 SU in last five, with losses by 8-1-5 points. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-4 vs spread. Huskies won/covered five games in row- they're 4-1 vs spread as an underdog.


Virginia Tech (13-5) @ Georgia Tech (9-9) 9:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Virginia Tech -3 | 133

Virginia Tech won its last three games vs Georgia Tech, by 8-5-6 points; Hokies are 4-1 vs spread in ACC games, winning at Maryland by 17 and losing/covering 64-61 at North Carolina. Single digit home underdogs are 3-0 in ACC games. Home side is 5-0 SU in Georgia Tech's ACC games, with Jackets 2-0 at home, beating Carolina by 20, Wake Forest by 35.


(12) Purdue (17-3) @ (1) Ohio State (20-0) 9:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Ohio State -7½ | 135

Ohio State used spurt in last 4:00 to escape Illinois with win Saturday, so they're still unbeaten. Five of last six OSU-Illinois games were won either by 4 or less points or in OT. Big 11 single digit home favorites are 10-5-1 vs spread. Buckeyes are 10-4 in last 14 games vs Purdue, but lost last two games played here, by 25-3 points.


Auburn (7-12) @ Arkansas (12-6) 9:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: Arkansas -14½ | 135

Arkansas is 7-4 in last 11 games vs Auburn; home side won nine of last 12 series games- Tigers are 1-5 in last six visits here, losing by 22-36-8-20-13 points. Home side is 5-0 in Hogs' SEC games; Hogs won at home by 3-5 points. Auburn is 0-5 in SEC, losing road games by 19-24 points. SEC home favorites of 9+ points are 4-6 against the spread.


UNLV (15-5) @ Wyoming (8-11) 10:00 ET

5Dimes Odds: UNLV -12 | 126½

UNLV won 13 of last 15 games vs Wyoming, taking five of seven here; Rebels won in Laramie by 14-2-11-8-28 points- they are 3-3 in MWC, 1-1 on road. Cowboys lost last three games by 18-17-21 points; all four their MWC losses are by 13+ points. UNLV is 2-3 as home favorite in MVC. MWC home underdogs of 5+ points are 2-4 against the spread.


Info by Armadillo Sports.

[Tommy]

Florida at Georgia

The Gators look to take advantage of a Georgia team that is coming off an 86-64 win over Mississippi State and is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Florida is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by 1.

Dunkel Pick: Florida (+2 1/2).

[Tommy]

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games when playing Florida

7:00 PM
RICHMOND vs. DAYTON
Richmond is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Richmond is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dayton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 6 games when playing Richmond
Dayton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. TOLEDO
Bowling Green is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Bowling Green is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Toledo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Toledo is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home

7:00 PM
SETON HALL vs. SYRACUSE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Syracuse is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seton Hall

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
No trends available
Western Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
North Carolina State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Clemson is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing North Carolina State
Clemson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State

8:00 PM
KANSAS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games on the road
Kansas is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Colorado is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Kansas
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas

8:05 PM
MISSOURI STATE vs. DRAKE
Missouri State is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Missouri State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Drake is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Missouri State
Drake is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Missouri State

9:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. MARQUETTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
PURDUE vs. OHIO STATE
Purdue is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Purdue
Ohio State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Purdue

9:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. GEORGIA TECH
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Tech is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

9:00 PM
AUBURN vs. ARKANSAS
Auburn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Auburn's last 11 games on the road
Arkansas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Auburn
Arkansas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Auburn

10:00 PM
UNLV vs. WYOMING
UNLV is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UNLV's last 11 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against UNLV
Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

[Tommy]

Jack Jones

Connecticut vs. Marquette

Pick: Marquette -4½ (-110) at Bodog.

Marquette is easily the best team in the country with 7 losses or more. Odds makers realize this as well, which is why they have set the Golden Eagles as a 4.5-point home favorite over a UConn Huskies team that is ranked No. 5 in the country at 16-2. Six of Marquette's seven losses this season have come on the road against mostly ranked opponents in Duke by 5, Gonzaga by 3, Wisconsin by 5, Vanderbilt by 1, Pitt by 8, Louisville by 1 and Notre Dame by 5. As you can see, none of their losses came by more than 8 points and six were by 5 or less which featured several second-half blown leads.

The Golden Eagles have been taking care of business at home this season, going 11-1 where they are outscoring opponents by 21.4 PPG. Marquette has won all three of their conference home games this season where they are averaging 85.1 PPG at the Bradley Center. Both of UConn's losses have come on the road this year. The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Marquette is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons. The Golden Eagles are 12-3 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. UConn is 24-44 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997. Roll with Marquette Tuesday.

[Tommy]

Matt Fargo

Buffalo vs. Western Michigan

Laying points with Buffalo may not seem sound in this spot but this is ideal to me. Buffalo is coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Ohio on Saturday to remain in a tie for first place in the MAC East and Tuesday marks the first could of games where we have the East playing the West with the former being much superior.

No team has better than a 3-2 record in the MAC East as everyone has been beating up on each other. Ohio, the preseason favorite, is 1-4 and still cannot be counted out.

All six teams in the East are separated by two games while the West is being overtaken by Ball St. which is 5-0 but all wins came against West opponents. Taking a look at power ratings, five of the top six spots in the MAC are held by East teams all of which are ranked 183rd or better while five of the bottom six teams are from the West, all of which are ranked 201st or worse with the bottom four being ranked 268th or worse.

The point is laying points with the East on the road against the West is not an issue. Buffalo is currently the highest ranked MAC team in the conference and rightfully so. Despite just a game and a half difference over Western Michigan, the Bulls are outscoring opponents by 7.4 ppg while the Broncos are getting outscored by 1.5 ppg. Buffalo is shooting 48 percent from the floor including 47.4 percent on the road and on the season it is outshooting opponents by 6.4 percent while Western Michigan is getting outshot by less than a percent.

Backing this up is that Buffalo has played a tougher schedule. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win while going 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record.

The role of road favorite has not been a problem for the Bulls of late as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of three points or fewer.

Western Michigan meanwhile, which is coming off a win against Northern Illinois, is 2-10 ATS coming off a conference in its last game over the last two seasons.

3* (517) Buffalo Bulls -2½

[Tommy]

Jeff Alexander

Purdue vs. Ohio State

1 Unit on Purdue Boilermakers +7.5

Bottom Line: Purdue has either won or lost by 4 points or fewer in 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series. The Buckeyes are still undefeated by the skin of their teeth. In fact, 5 of their last 6 wins have come by 5 points or less. The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Purdue may not be able to get the victory, but with a chance to break into a tie for 1st place in the Big Ten I expect the Boilermakers to take the Buckeyes right down to the wire. Take the points.

[Tommy]

Dave Price

Kansas vs. Colorado

1 Unit on Kansas Jayhawks -7.5

The Key: The time to back Kansas is following a loss. That's because the Jayhawks are a perfect 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, winning in this situation by an average score of 82.2 to 64.9. Plus, defeating Colorado has been no problem for Kansas. Dating back to 1998, the Jayhawks are 26-1 against the Buffs, defeating them by an average score of 83 to 67. Following its first loss of the season, Kansas will be out for blood tonight. Lay the points.

[Tommy]

Tony George

Kansas vs. Colorado

Colorado +7.5

Colorado 11-0 at home and a very good sleeper team in the Big 12. They score 81 ppg at home and hit 51 percent from the floor on the season in Boulder! Kansas off a devastating loss and way to inconsistent right now to lay this type of number on the road.

You never know who is going to show up for KU, and against Colorado at home, you better bet the A Game of the Buffs will be in tact and the arena sold out for this one. A very tough place to play.

Colorado has some horses to hang tight and not sure how KU is going to react after a blowout loss as a big favortie against Texas on Saturday.

A very tough spot for KU, I will galdly take the points here.

[Tommy]

Rocky Atkinson

NC State vs. Clemson

Play On: Clemson -7 1/2 at Sports Interaction

NC State is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS as an underdog this year. NC State is 1-5 ATS this year against good defensive teams allowing 64 points per game or less this year. Clemson is 16-3 ATS since 1997 as a home favorite of 6 1/2 to 9 points. Clemson has been strong at home this year with a 10-1 SU record and allowing only 58.7 points per game. Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Wolfpack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. We'll recommend a small play on Clemson tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky