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| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 148
| Cal @ KU -2 Kansas -2: Cal has beat up pretty much the sister of the poors to inflate their team stats y-t-d. Cal's ONLY road game y-t-d resulted in a LOSE to E. Mig (WHO)? Kansas comes into this game ave. almost as many ppg as Cal against a little stiffer competition (St. Jopes, Nev, Ark, Zona). KU only allows 36.2% FG%. This game is in Kemper Arena and the young rockchalk Jayhawks will stiffen up the D, and let the Pac 10 and the country know that Cal really isn't as good as many think out of the gate. KU by 12! Texas +2: Texas scores more, shoots comparable ,plays better D and will beat an OVERRATED Duke squad today. Duke has struggle early in some contests this year, and WHEN that happens against the Texas D, they will not be able to overcome the deficit they have been y-t-d against the likes of V-Tech and Indiana. Texas by 8! Ohio State +2: EVERYONE talks about how good St. Joe's D is, but in reality OSU has a little better D than the Joe's. I don't care where this game is at, D is simply an effort put forth by the players, and Thad's guys WILL put forth the effort. As liong as Dials stays out of foul trouble, Ohio State will control the glass which will control the tempo, which will result in a rather easily "W". Ohio State by 7! Kentucky +2: IU WILL NOT be shooting no 53.9% rom the field against a Kty squad only allowing 37.7%! IU only real test this year was against Duke, and we all know what happened there. Now I'm not saying Kty is Duke, but against a staunch D, Kty will get a surprising 9 pt W on the road today! Heck if IU Stat can beat them, I'll take my chances. UCLA +2: This is a play based on the 5th RG of 7 for Nevada while the Bruins have been sitting at home all season. The average power rating of opponents played are almost identical. I'll take the home crowd, the home team, and the points. Illinois -2: Once again, a pretty even match-up on paper. I'll look at the common opponent in this one, Georgetown. Illinois 10 pt winn (cover), Oregon 14 pt loser (no cover) both games played on each teams home court. Illinois still has Brown and Augustine to get the W on the road. Wisc GB -2.5: Playing the likes of Washington and Wisconsin, GB's numbers are a little skewed. Mont St lives and dies with the "3" ball, and tonight against a team that allows only 36% 3 pt shooting, they DIE. GB's 3 pt D and the fact that Mont St plays NO defense, OVER 71 ppg against teams you wouldn't be able to recognize, GB has enough offense and the crowd to get a DD vicetory tonight! Rutgers +1.5: Once again I'm taking the better defensive team getting points. Rutgers allows 38% FG% and only 30% 3 pt %. Buffalo even though their ppg looks GREAT , they allow over 45% from the field. Look for Farmer and Douby to continue their hot shooting from behind the arc, and avoid their 2nd lose of the year. Alabama +4: Bama has better front line which means they will control the glass and the Temple which is a must against the Owls. Bama will be able to come close to their 47% FG percentage, and put the Owls in an early deficit. They're defense is more than sufficient enough go keep Temple at bay. Who can score for the Owls 58.7ppg? Answer, NO ONE! Should be a PK'EM game....I'll take the points. |
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