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Old 01-10-06, 02:34 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Missouri @ Oklahoma


Missouri

Record: 8-4
Power Rating: 79.9
Ranking: 104

0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-2v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
5-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (8-1): 81.4 (106)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
5-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-086.2
Non-League Power Ratings: 7-177.0
Last Ten Ratings: 7-079.0

Away Ratings (0-2): 75.0 (149)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-2v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332


Oklahoma

Record: 9-3
Power Rating: 83.3
Ranking: 68



0-1v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
5-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (7-0): 89.9 (25)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-083.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 7-084.9
Last Ten Ratings: 5-081.7

Away Ratings (2-2): 81.8 (76)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Gonna wait to see what this line does, but give me a lean on Missouri +13.5. Missouri matches up very well against OU and I feel this might be a bit inflated being in Oklahoma.

The Citadel @ Davidson

The Citadel getting 24.5 points seems like some value and that they could get their first ATS cover this year. Davidson does not seem to be "lights out" to cover this spread but upon further review it is a little more lopsided.

The Citadel

Record: 2-8
Power Rating: 58.1
Ranking: 321

0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
2-5v #201-332

Home Ratings (0-3): 47.4 (327)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-1v #101-200
0-1v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-154.8
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-248.8
Last Ten Ratings: 0-351.1

Away Ratings (1-4): 58.9 (316)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
1-3v #201-332

Davidson

Record: 5-5
Power Rating: 81.6
Ranking: 93

0-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-2v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (4-0): 88.8 (31)
0-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-080.6
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-082.7
Last Ten Ratings: 4-082.5

Away Ratings (1-5): 77.5 (120)
0-2v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-2v #101-200
1-0v #201-332

Davidson has played teams of a much higher caliber such as North Carolina, Illinios-Chicago, Syracuse. While The Citadel has played Florida Christian, Charleston Southern & Atlanta Christian College. I feel that Davidson's nunmbers are a bit low because of the competition they have gone up against and The Citadel's numbers are a bit high due to the lack of competition in their schedule. Just by comparing Away vs Home rankings Davidson has a 29.9 Edge and with The Citadel having 2 injuries going ino this game Davidson should take care of business.

Leans

Missouri +13.5
Davidson -24.5



Last edited by Wigington : 01-10-06 at 02:35 AM.
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Old 01-10-06, 02:43 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Game #3

Akron vs W. Michigan

This might be my #1 play of the night. Take a look at the history between these 2 teams. The last time Akron won SU was in 2002 and that was in Akron. W. Michigan has won the past 5 meetings SU and they are getting points at home tonight. Line opened with Akron favored by 3.5 points and with 69% on Akron line has dropped to 2.5. I am thinking Vegas is trying to bait the public once again. W. Michigan plays much better defense @ home. I am waiting for the public to bring this line back up to 3.


Game #4

Wisconsin vs Minnesota

Probably the biggest fade on the board if the numbers stay like they are. Minnesota opened up as a 1.5 home favorite and with 85% on Wisconsin now Minnesota is a 2 point underdog. Aside from the fade what we had was a ranked team getting points, but now they are laying points on the road. Very sharp line, but Minnesota provides value @ home. Wisconsin defensively struggles on the road giving up 84.3ppg compared to Minnesota giving up 60.4. Basketball is a game of streaks and looking at the last 5 games comparatively between these 2 teams, Minnesota is shooting better in the FG%, 3PT% & FT%.

Note*

I am scratching the Mizzou vs Oklahoma play. Mizzou is subject on the road and I feel there are some stronger games on the board tonight.

Leans

Davidson -23.5
W. Michigan +3
Minnesota +2


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Old 01-10-06, 06:44 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Scratching Davidson. I believe they could cover, but I like this one a lot better.

Buffalo vs Toledo

66% on Buffalo as a 3.5 point underdog and the line has gone up to 4.5

Toledo at home is a much different team than on the road.

Toledo -4.5
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Old 01-10-06, 06:53 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Tonight's Plays

Toledo -4.5
W. Michigan +2.5
Minnesota +2.5

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Old 01-10-06, 07:10 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Charles, I got shutout on 2 of the plays, all I have is Minnesota +3.5/33/30

BOL!!!!!
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Old 01-10-06, 07:54 PM   #6 (permalink)
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How did you get shutout?
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Old 01-10-06, 08:31 PM   #7 (permalink)
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BOL tonight buddy
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Old 01-10-06, 09:24 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wigington
How did you get shutout?
I had family come over about 5:30 pm central time and when I realized the time it was almost 6 pm I was able to get the minnesota game in and that was it.
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Old 01-10-06, 09:26 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Glad you got Minnesota +2.5, thx for the winner bro!!!!

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Old 01-10-06, 09:38 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Damn Bro, you did it again!! Got off of the winner and got on a loser. I have seen you do that 3 or 4 times, you record should be way better than it is. From now on if you have a lean and get off of the play I am betting it!!!
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Old 01-10-06, 09:49 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Bro, I forgot to thank you for getting me off of Kentucky, I was going to bet 2 - 1/2 units on Kentucky and just used em in a 3 team parlay for less than 1 unit
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Old 01-10-06, 10:33 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Man I am just a little upset. Toledo had a double digit cover for almost the entire game and lost my cover by 1.5 points.
Davidson & Missouri both covered and I am kicking myself in the ass for not playing either of those. I have learned my lesson about getting off of my plays. That Kentucky game is not suprising to me because they are way overrated and I do not think they should even be ranked. If they keep it up soon enough they won't.

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