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Old 01-11-06, 11:00 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default THURSDAY IN THE OVC 1-12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Back from Tunica. I hope everyone followed my advice on SEMO last week as they covered at E. Illinois and Murray St. I didn't have access to a computer last week and when I saw the Murray St. line at 17- I liked it so much I called my wife and told her how to access my on-line account to bet the game.

TENN. STATE AT SAMFORD -9-

As I've stated many times before Samford is the hardest team in the conference to prepare for, especially the first time they play. Samford lost their first conference game at home to Jacksonville St. 62-61 and then have won their next six games including home wins against SEMO by 15, and Murray St. by 11.


As a team, Samford is currently ranked among the nation's elite in several statistical categories.
The Bulldogs are sixth in the nation in fewest turnovers per game (11.6) and are eighth in scoring defense. Samford is only allowing a meager 55.8 points per game this season, while Air Force, the national leader, is slightly better at 53.4 points a contest. The Bulldogs are also ranked among the nation's top-20 teams in an additional four statistical listings. Samford is ninth in 3-point field-goal percentage (42.2), 10th in field-goal percentage (50.1), 11th in 3-point field goals per game (9.2) and is the 19th-ranked team in fewest personal fouls per game (15.5).

I don't like laying this many points in what should be a low scoring game but Samford will get their points. I don't believe Tenn. St. will.

SAMFORD -9-
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Old 01-12-06, 11:31 AM   #2 (permalink)
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There's 2 more OVC games that the more I look at them the more I like them.

AUSTIN PEAY AT MURRAY STATE -10-

This will be Murray State's 4th game in 7 days. The last 3 against Tenn. St., SEMO, and E. Illinois they failed to cover the spread. Austin Peay on the other hand has won 9 out of their last 11 games.

AUSTIN PEAY +10-


TENN-MARTIN AT E. ILLINOIS -2

E. Illinois has only won 2 games this year. One against Morehead St. the other against UMKC. That's not a ringing endorsement at all. However their beginning to play much better as of late losing by 6 at Austin Peay and by 1 at Murray St. Tenn-Martin on the other hand has only won 1 road game this year at Morehead St. This Tenn-Martin team is a much different team at home than on the road. This is a good spot for E. Illinois to get their first home win of the year.

E. ILLINOIS -2
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Old 01-12-06, 05:30 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I agree. I'd hate laying those points (now 9.5 at Pinny), but hard not to back a team that is 9-4 SU, 9-2 ATS, 5-0 SU last 5 games, and 4-0 ATS in those games. Tenn State is 5-2 ATS on the road, with I guess "quality" losses to Georgia Tech, Ohio State, Iowa State, and Murray State. So I'm going small on Samford.

Good luck dude.
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Old 01-12-06, 06:59 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Austin Peay just went to +13 at olympic so I bet them again.

AUSTIN PEAY +13
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Old 01-12-06, 08:27 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Hey Pool, thanks for the great info. BOL to you tonight! Cash tickets!!
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Old 01-12-06, 10:58 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Default RE-CAP

SAMFORD -9- winner
E. ILLINOIS -2 winner
AUSTIN PEAY +10- loser
AUSTIN PEAY +13 winner

We should have won both Austin Peay plays but they were shooting a lay-up at the end of the game and the ball just shot out of his hand out of bounds. I'll take 3-1 any night.

record now 24-16-1 ytd
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Old 01-12-06, 11:24 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pool
SAMFORD -9- winner
E. ILLINOIS -2 winner
AUSTIN PEAY +10- loser
AUSTIN PEAY +13 winner

We should have won both Austin Peay plays but they were shooting a lay-up at the end of the game and the ball just shot out of his hand out of bounds. I'll take 3-1 any night.

record now 24-16-1 ytd

NICE pool, I got in your thread too late to play any of your plays, 3-1 is good in anyones book!!!!
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Last edited by QuickNick : 01-12-06 at 11:24 PM.
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