[Wigington]

YTD 48-33 @ 59.2%

Game #1

Washington St (86.1) @ UCLA (90.2)


Washington St

Record: 9-3
Power Rating: 86.1
Ranking: 35

0-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (6-0): 88.1 (36)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-083.7
Non-League Power Ratings: 5-082.5
Last Ten Ratings: 5-082.5

Away Ratings (2-1): 92.8 (15)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-096.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-187.9
Last Ten Ratings: 2-191.2

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 78.2 (120)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-170.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-180.9
Last Ten Ratings: 1-183.3

UCLA

Record: 13-2
Power Rating: 90.2
Ranking: 20

1-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (8-1): 81.8 (97)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-1v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-175.9
Non-League Power Ratings: 7-081.5
Last Ten Ratings: 5-177.7

Away Ratings (3-0): 100.3 (10)
1-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-090.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-099.1
Last Ten Ratings: 3-093.3

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 91.6 (30)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-090.2
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-188.9
Last Ten Ratings: 1-096.2

Based on Power Rankings alone Washington St jumps out at me as the play, but lets take a look how these 2 teams matchup statistically.

Offense For FG% 3P% FT% Reb.

WAST 64.6 47.3 40.5 74.3 27.9
UCLA 69.7 49.0 36.2 70.1 31.1

Defense For FG% 3P% FT% Reb.

WAST 55.5 36.8 29.1 67.4 28.2
UCLA 61.7 42.9 36.2 71.3 25.3


Looking upon recent matchups between these 2 teams, the last time UCLA covered the spread of 8.5 points was in 2003. Likely these were 2 different teams at the time. Another key I think looking at this line is it is inflated I believe as the last meeting in UCLA, 2/3/2005, was UCLA favored by 2 points. Why are they favored by 8.5 with injuries on both teams? My last note for this game is line movement. The %'s will change because what I am looking at is the overnight line. Right now I am showing UCLA opened up as a 8.5 point favorite and 270 bets total have been placed. 95% of those bets are on UCLA and this line has dropped to 7.5. Not really sure if it will go up or down because it is too early too tell. This is a late game so there will be plenty of time to monitor this game. Vegas pulled out some key covers tonight with inflated lines for example Florida & Memphis both double digit favorites that lost ATS and I have to think this UCLA line might be a bit inlfated as well. Either way I am leaning towards Washington St.

Lean

Washington St +7.5

[Wigington]

NC Wilmington (81.3) @ Drexel (81.0)

Offense For FG% 3PT% FT% Reb.

NCW 65.5 42.5 33.9 72.1 32.0
Drexel 60.0 39.6 33.5 67.1 33.9

Defense For FG% 3PT% FT% Reb.

NCW 58.9 40.1 26.1 67.5 28.9
Drexel 56.8 38.9 32.5 70.4 27.1

Dating back to 2/4/2002 these 2 teams have faced off 10 times. Out of the past 10 meetings NCW has won SU 8 times and the 2 games Drexel beat them was by 1 point, 1/31/2004, and by 3 points, 2/18/2002.

This game looks to be lopsided for the public. Right now 397 bets have been placed and 65% of those bets are on Drexel tonight. Public has driven this line from 3 to 4.5 and seeing as it is still fairly early I am hoping they drive it up to 5. I have seen Mayor's & Indian Cowboy's posts on Drexel tonight and I definately hear them loud and clear that NCW has not always been a good road team. Just looking at stats, recent meetings, and the fact there are no injuries for either team gives me a lean on NCW. Plus when the public starts to load up on one side it can be an indicator as well.

Leans

Washington St +7
NCW +4.5

[Moldoveanu]

damn all those stats are they really worth to look at??

because all you need to know i believe how the team has played last few games!! thats all ! and history between the teams might help!

[Wigington]

What is your record sir?

Vegas wants you to bet that way. If you play a game based on the prior performance I guarantee you will lose.

Whats wrong with having in depth analasys?

[QuickNick]

I hate a game where the line moves one way and then back the other way!!!

747 WASHINGTON ST.
10:30 PM	Matchup Preview
748 UCLA			8½	7½/7/6½/6/6½/7

[QuickNick]

Hey Charles you have an email!!!

[Wigington]

I see what Vegas is doing though. This line went down from 8.5 to 7.5 with 95% on UCLA. Now the percentages are getting a little more even with 53% on UCLA. Looks like Wash St bettors bet it down to 6.5 and then UCLA bettors drove it back up. Tipoff is 10:30 eastern so lets see what it does...I am still liking Washington St here

[Wigington]

Starting off with

NC Wilmington +3.5

[QuickNick]

I am gonna keep looking and when we have a match like TCU last night I will bet it good again. Last Night I was winning $37.95 and bet $38.50 on TCU!!!

[naught33]

GL on the plays wig, im liking wash st w the points here...itll be a tight one imo

[Tommy]

BOL Tonight on your plays Wig. Bank em !

[Wigington]

1-0 so far les hope for a 2-0 day!

Adding

Washington St +7

[QuickNick]

Get it charles, If I can get the So. Cal game to go OVER 153.5, I will not lose much tonight and I know you are on the right track and if I want to win money I had better pay attention to what you have shown me!!!

BOL with Washington St +7 tonight Bro!!!!

[Wigington]

What a comeback down by 14 points at halftime and lose by 2!

2-0 I will take it!

YTD 50-33 @ 60.2%

[QuickNick]

NICE Charles!!!! Keep up the good work bro!!!! NICE % also!!!

[Wigington]

Moldoveanu, does it matter how much writeup as long as it hits!