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Old 01-19-06, 12:55 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Arrow Wigington's Thursday NCAA

YTD 57-40

Montana (83.3) @ N. Arizona (73.7)

Montana


Record: 11-2
Power Rating: 83.3
Ranking: 63

0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
5-1v #101-200
6-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (5-1): 79.6 (120)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-070.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-181.7
Last Ten Ratings: 4-177.8


Away Ratings (5-1): 85.8 (44)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332


N. Arizona

Record: 9-6
Power Rating: 73.7
Ranking: 177

0-0v #1-25
0-2v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-3v #101-200
7-1v #201-332

Home Ratings (4-1): 73.3 (190)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
3-1v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 2-078.1
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-167.7
Last Ten Ratings: 3-171.0


Away Ratings (3-3): 75.0 (153)
0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
0-2v #101-200
3-0v #201-332

This looks to be a tight ball game, but I really like Montana getting points here. Montana swept N. Arizona last year and I expect no different tonight. I believe why N. Arizona is favored by 1 point is due to their 7-1 record at home. I get these statistics fom Mike Greenfield's site and comparing these team's power ratings, Montana should win by 4.3 points. Now you can't just go by what some site says, one thing it does show is Montana's strong road play as they are 5-1 on the road this year. I generaly would make a play on the ML, but being a 1 point underdog doesn't really provide much value. Still early in the day, but as of 12:00 ET 362 bets have been placed and 67% of those bets are on N. Arizona. Hoping this line goes up to 1.5 or 2 before tipoff. No injuries reported for either team.

Montana +1
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Old 01-19-06, 02:39 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Middle Tennessee (75.8) @ S. Alabama (80.3)

Middle Tennessee

Record: 7-7
Power Rating: 75.8
Ranking: 148

0-1v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
1-2v #51-100
1-3v #101-200
5-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (3-2): 72.0 (204)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
0-2v #101-200
2-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 1-171.5
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-171.3
Last Ten Ratings: 1-268.7


Away Ratings (3-5): 77.9 (118)
0-1v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-2v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

S. Alabama

Record: 11-3
Power Rating: 80.3
Ranking: 97

0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-1v #101-200
7-1v #201-332

Home Ratings (6-0): 85.2 (55)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-332
League Power Rankings: 0-080.3
Non-League Power Ratings: 6-079.2
Last Ten Ratings: 4-078.8


Away Ratings (5-3): 78.4 (110)
0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
1-1v #101-200
4-1v #201-332

S. Alabama boasts a 7-0 record @ home against Troy, W. Michigan, Louisiana Monroe, Houston, Samford, Alabama St and Spring Hill. The only 2 wins that were close were Houston by 4 points and Samford by 3 points.
Midd Tenn St can sometimes struggle on the road where their only 3 wins on the road were against Tenn St, Belmont and Portland St. The last 3 meetings between both of these teams Midd Tenn St has won 2 SU and the 3rd game( which is the most recent) they lost by 3 points, 59-56. Seeing how both teams haven't had that tough of a schedule I believe that Midd Tennessee has a chance to keep this game close. No injuries have been reported for either teams. With 89% on S. Alabama this line has dropped from 8 to 7 and back up to 7.5 were it sits right now. I will be monitoring the line movement on this game, as it is tough to make a play just on line movement this early in the day.

Lean

Middle Tennessee St +7.5
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Old 01-19-06, 02:41 PM   #3 (permalink)
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BOL on the plays buddy, im posting a few right now
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Old 01-19-06, 07:22 PM   #4 (permalink)
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William & Mary +14
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Old 01-19-06, 09:56 PM   #5 (permalink)
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hope the plays cashed for u bro
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Old 01-19-06, 11:35 PM   #6 (permalink)
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well too bad I forgot to post my virginia play here, I had it at covers...oh well

adding Arizona -3.5 2nd half
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Old 01-20-06, 02:05 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Bro, I thought you said they was makin fun of your plays at covers and you was not gonna post there anymore??
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Old 01-20-06, 02:16 AM   #8 (permalink)
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2-2 on the night it beats losing bro, besides you have been doing good for awhile now. you can afford a little juice. Get em' tomorrow.
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